I guess he didn’t promise enough “free stuff”.
From CBS, yawning.
What are the intramurals of this poll?
It’s 1980 again, in terms of this election. The media will say it’s a close race all the way to the end, and proclaim that Hillary has a slight lead on election eve. Then on Election Day the pissed off majority of the American people will let their voices be heard and will vote in the tens of millions for Trump including above average numbers of independents and Democrats. I do realize the near certainty the Dems will commit voter fraud, but I think most people are waking up to the fact this country is a mess and it’s being transformed into something they don’t want.
See BS..considering those DNCLeaks..we all know EVERYTHING from the media is PROPAGANDA from the DNC
DONALD TRUMP will win in a landslide.
There will be much information spread between now and Election Day. The MSM is 100% in Crooked Hillary’s corner and will pull out all stops to portray her victory as an inevitability. The MSM hates Donald Trump with a passion that cannot possibly be imagined. After all, Trump has been pissing on them since he got into the race and they are taking it personal.
This CBS poll has to be wrong as there are some other polls and lots of options showing that Trump got a huge jump in the pools during and after the RNC.
There was a post here very early this morning stating that Trump would get 57% of the vote.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/3452288/posts
I was surprised to see all 11 battleground states lumped together. If Trump is leading Hildabeast by 2 points in all, then he is leading her by much more than that in at least a handful. Trump doesn’t need all 11, he only needs 6-7 battleground states depending on which ones.
For instance, if you stripped out the voters from Colorado, Michigan and Nevada (these 3 states are on the outer edge of being battleground states, definitely not swing states), I’m thinking Trump’s numbers would go up in the states he is already doing better in,all of which are true swing states.
Here is the honest assessment and what must be killing Nate Silver and others on the left who know how polling works and how voters respond.
1) Both candidates have nearly Universal name recognition, so the odds that current supporters of Trump will switch to Clinton, or current supporters of Clinton will switch to Trump, are miniscule at best.
2) Clinton has a track record of political behavior, votes, promises, and campaigns. Not only was she Secretary of State and Senator of New York, but she ran for the nomination in 2008, which afforded many, many people the chance to consider her as President. Most people have already made up their mind as to how they will vote when it comes to her.
3) The Libertarian party and the Green party are fringe parties that appeal to specific politically aware sections of the voting population. The Libertarians focus on less government while Greens focus on environmental issues. Those who are for less government overwhelmingly support the Republican party while those who are for environmental reforms overwhelmingly support the Democrat party.
4) Undecided voters may (because of #1 above) sit out the election, or may (because of #2 above) vote for Trump grudgingly. It is unlikely that people who are undecided know both who Clinton is and what she would do in office and still remain undecided if they will eventually vote for her. About 20% to 25% will.
If Johnson and Stein were to hold onto 80% of their polling levels now, that would be amazing. But even then, they would bleed 20% of their votes to the main candidates, which clearly would give Trump another 1% bounce or so.
If Trump can break the 45% barrier in the next few weeks, the Democrats are going to be panicked. Trump needs to focus on what he wants to do to win over the undecideds and siphon off votes from Johnson.
His negative attacks are fun, but at best will suppress turnout for Clinton (which can be VERY effective this year). It would be best if he can do both types of ads.
My guess is many non-core conservatives are waiting for the dem convention to decide. Many core conservatives holding out will likely begin to come into the fold as the election gets closer.
And now for an alternative position...
The Democrats want Hillary to lose.
1) Hillary’s loss will mean the end of the Clinton era of influence peddling. The Chicago mob would for all practical purposes run the party apparatus.
2) The Democrats have to run against someone, to avoid the kinds of debacles that occurred in 2010 and 2014. Trump is, in their minds, the perfect bogeyman to help them regain control of the Senate in 2018, and perhaps the House in 2020.
3) S is about to HTF. So much easier to blame it on a sitting President than a former one, and Trump would be the sitting President who would receive all the blame.
4) With Clinton’s loss, the torch will be passed to a new, much more socialist, much more progressivist, much more ideologically pure generation of politicians. Leftists who think of the Clintons, Pelosi, Schumer, and most of the CBC as too old and not leftist enough would be able to rise up and claim the mantle of True Progressives.
All of this is predicated on one belief, that the DNC/MSM complex can successfully paint Trump as the Nazi Antichrist over the next four years. They’ll give it their best, of course.
So why didn’t they do a national poll instead of a battleground poll? In past elections all we saw post Convention were national polls.
I’m guessing the bump was a bit more than they could handle.
This is the expected CBS/DNC party line.
Hillary, of course, will get a solid bounce and go on to become the new “comeback kid”
The script has been written for over a year.
This is great news considering Romney only won one single state (NC) of the eleven.
Russia Today has more credibility.
The liberal media WILL NOT report anything favorable of Trump.
I doubt any numbers being reported right now.
Actually I think he will get a bigger bounce during the DNC convention.