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ARG National Poll: Clinton 43 Trump 42 (Trump Leads Independents by 18)
ARG/Huff Post Pollster ^ | 7/21/2106 | ARG

Posted on 07/21/2016 9:30:17 AM PDT by usafa92

No article just the link to HuffPost.

(Excerpt) Read more at elections.huffingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: arg; clintonpolls; deadheat; hillary; huffpuff; independents; polls; trump
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Apologies for the impromptu title. I posted only the link to the toplines at HuffPost Pollster. The actual write-up from ARG is an absolute mess and the title is all about Obama's approval ratings.

The gist of things are that Trump is only pulling 77% of Republicans, but has an 18 point lead with Independents. Clinton is pulling 85% of Democrats. If the Never Trumpers get their collective heads out of their rear ends, Trump wins this going away.

The link to ARG is as follows:

http://americanresearchgroup.com/economy/

1 posted on 07/21/2016 9:30:17 AM PDT by usafa92
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To: usafa92

This should work now.

http://americanresearchgroup.com/economy/


2 posted on 07/21/2016 9:32:12 AM PDT by usafa92 (Trump 2016 - Destroying the GOPe while Making America Great Again)
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To: usafa92

ARGHHHHHHHH!!!!!


3 posted on 07/21/2016 9:34:15 AM PDT by Honorary Serb (Kosovo is Serbia! Free Srpska! Abolish ICTY!)
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To: usafa92
If the Never Trumpers get their collective heads out of their rear ends,

The never Trumpers aren't going to be the deciding factor.
That factor will mainly be: Trump.
Trump has only started tearing into Hillary and casting his vision of American greatness. The working-class undecideds will enjoy watching, and they'll vote for Trump based on his ability to connect. Hillary has no such ability. They'll vote for Trump now the same way their parents voted for Reagan in 1980.
Another factor will be: Pence. He is the quintessential VP candidate, and the best speaker in the party. Moreover, he will attract the cultural conservatives.


4 posted on 07/21/2016 9:36:14 AM PDT by Genoa
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To: usafa92

Not even a post convention bump yet.


5 posted on 07/21/2016 9:37:21 AM PDT by KC_Conspirator
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To: usafa92

How much is Team Hitlary doling out to the pollsters for bogus polls via the Clintoon Foundation money-laundering operation?


6 posted on 07/21/2016 9:37:27 AM PDT by CivilWarBrewing (Females DESTROYED America.)
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To: usafa92

Its a dead heat.

Hillary isn’t all that popular. She’s getting 43% of the vote with The Donald hot on her heels.

Amazing with all the positive free media exposure MSM has been giving her.

Witch Of Chappaqua is in desperate need of a makeover.


7 posted on 07/21/2016 9:40:30 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: usafa92

Trump should do ads to drive up Hillary’s negatives. Low turnout favors him.

Look for Hillary to pick Corey Booker. Obama only one because of Onama’s skin color resulted in record high black turnout. She needs them. She’s an old hag and it helps with the generational gap.

The MSM is scared. Trump will go after Hillary with gloves off.

I hope he makes his cabinet so Christie (AG) can campaign for him. He’s a great punch in the face guy. B


8 posted on 07/21/2016 9:40:47 AM PDT by TigerClaws
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To: usafa92
I think one thing Trump is framing Hillary Clinton is that she's the ultimate establishment candidate--after all, look at how they HUGELY benefitted from being part of it.

(BTW, the line about the Clintons being dead broke in 2001 is fried bologna sandwich. Hillary Clinton had several million dollars lined up from publishers waiting for her as soon as Bill Clinton left office, and look at all the freebies they got after 2001 (Bill Clinton's office in Harlem and their house in Chappaqua, NY.)

9 posted on 07/21/2016 9:44:53 AM PDT by RayChuang88 (FairTax: America's Economic Cure)
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To: TigerClaws

Hillary has blown big money on ad spamming in swing states on tearing Trump down and he’s up in all of them except VA.

Like Jeb, Hillary thinks money will buy an election.

Actually, its the message stupid and Hillary doesn’t inspire.


10 posted on 07/21/2016 9:44:59 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: usafa92
Clinton 43 Trump 42


11 posted on 07/21/2016 9:48:52 AM PDT by tomkat
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To: goldstategop
Hillary has blown big money on ad spamming in swing states on tearing Trump down . . .

Tell me about it. I can't even turn on the television to watch a Pirate's baseball game without seeing one in every other ad.

12 posted on 07/21/2016 9:50:14 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (ObaMao: Fake America, Fake Messiah, Fake Black man. How many fakes can you fit into one Zer0?)
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To: usafa92

13 posted on 07/21/2016 9:51:25 AM PDT by orchestra ((And there were also two other, malefactors, led with him to be put to death.))
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To: tomkat
The Reagan Democrats are going to decide it for Trump

They probably hate Cruz

Ted did united the party for Trump and cost him his career , sorry Rush but Cruz was never anything but a Fraud

14 posted on 07/21/2016 9:52:04 AM PDT by scooby321 (o even lower)
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To: usafa92

If Trump is up 18 with independents, Hillary isn’t up one, she’s down at least 5 to 7.

Sampling issues with this poll or something to get this outcome if she’s down 20 points with 40% of the electorate.


15 posted on 07/21/2016 9:53:49 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: usafa92

That dead heat between Trump and Hitlery is bs.

If Trump is up 15+ with independents, he wins in a landslide and it’s not even close.


16 posted on 07/21/2016 9:57:33 AM PDT by wille777
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To: goldstategop

Watch as Hillary morphs into Monty Hall before your very eyes.

We are about to witness a FREE SH*T GIVEAWAY EXTRAVAGANZA like your eyes have never seen before. She is going to pull out all the stops trying to coax the Berniebots and Gimmedats out to the polls.


17 posted on 07/21/2016 10:00:20 AM PDT by Buckeye McFrog
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To: goldstategop

Exactly. What can PIAPS really do to garner any upside.

She’s got as much as she’s going to get.

Trump has upside.

I did a quick check of the Real Clear Politics head to head average on this date in 2012, 2008 and 2004.

2012 Dem +1.7
2008 Dem +4.7
2004 Dem +2.0

2016 Dem +2.7

So Trump is right in line and not at any big disadvantage.

I only looked at 2016 and 2012, but I did notice that for this year, there seems to be more REGISTERED VOTER poll data in the RCP average at this point in the cycle as opposed to the same point in the 2012 race, where there were more LIKELY VOTER polls.

This tells me that someone is looking to goose Clinton’s numbers a bit, imo. Also, Clinton has been heavily spending on advertising where Trump has been spending ZERO. If this is the best she can do after dumping about $150 million in ads versus ZERO, smart Democrat analysts can’t be feeling good.

Overall, I think Trump is in a good position.


18 posted on 07/21/2016 10:02:10 AM PDT by HombreSecreto (The life of a repo man is always intense)
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To: goldstategop

Exactly. What can PIAPS really do to garner any upside.

She’s got as much as she’s going to get.

Trump has upside.

I did a quick check of the Real Clear Politics head to head average on this date in 2012, 2008 and 2004.

2012 Dem +1.7
2008 Dem +4.7
2004 Dem +2.0

2016 Dem +2.7

So Trump is right in line and not at any big disadvantage.

I only looked at 2016 and 2012, but I did notice that for this year, there seems to be more REGISTERED VOTER poll data in the RCP average at this point in the cycle as opposed to the same point in the 2012 race, where there were more LIKELY VOTER polls.

This tells me that someone is looking to goose Clinton’s numbers a bit, imo. Also, Clinton has been heavily spending on advertising where Trump has been spending ZERO. If this is the best she can do after dumping about $150 million in ads versus ZERO, smart Democrat analysts can’t be feeling good.

Overall, I think Trump is in a good position.


19 posted on 07/21/2016 10:02:10 AM PDT by HombreSecreto (The life of a repo man is always intense)
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To: usafa92

ARGH!!


20 posted on 07/21/2016 10:02:38 AM PDT by headstamp 2 (Fear is the mind killer.)
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