I’m not a Silver fan at all, but I have to say those odds look about right. I expect Trump’s chances to improve over time, but this was never going to be easy.
My gut tells me that this will be fairly close race all the way until the end, and then one or the other candidate will bust it open and win with about 330 electoral votes. I don’t know which one that will be.
This was never going to be easy, folks.
your reporting does remind me of Ted Grant
Just because the news tends to be bad does not mean it is false. What I think is false is that the election can be called today. There I think Silver is taking a leap of faith.
The ordinary people I talk to (apolitical but tend to be conservative) do not like either candidate. They all know Hillary is corrupt and will not vote for her, but they are not flocking to Trump either. Trump needs to do what he is doing, rallying everywhere and talking about his accomplishments and plans, attacking Hillary every chance he gets, and he should pull this off with a last minute surge. Even if he surges before the last minute the media will lie and say it is still close.