Just because the news tends to be bad does not mean it is false. What I think is false is that the election can be called today. There I think Silver is taking a leap of faith.
If the election was held today, Hillary would win for sure.
That said, its arrogant of Silver to guarantee a Hillary win four months down the road.
We’re not even half way through the general election season and the conventions, presidential debates and external events that could affect people’s votes are still in the future.
What happens today might not be true tomorrow. Its a little premature of Silver to say Hillary has it in the bag. Not so fast.