If the election was held today, Hillary would win for sure.
That said, its arrogant of Silver to guarantee a Hillary win four months down the road.
We’re not even half way through the general election season and the conventions, presidential debates and external events that could affect people’s votes are still in the future.
What happens today might not be true tomorrow. Its a little premature of Silver to say Hillary has it in the bag. Not so fast.
Exactly. No statistics that Silver can produce can back up his prediction at this point.
Cannot agree with this. I think Trump would win comfortably even now.
He’s not predicting a Hillary win in November. His totals are for his projection of what would happen if the election were today.