The problem is that if the Ds have a 20% advantage-—but only 50% turnout they lose. If Rs have a 3-point deficit, but only a 75% turnout they lose. It’s always a factor of registrations PLUS turnout. Wl Cankles get even 95% of Zero’s 2012 turnout? No. George Will said Trump would need 60 m to win. I think be will get closer to 70 m.
Correct, but turnout will determine the difference between D+6, where Hillary! wins and R Even or D+1, where the Republicans win.
The tipping point because the Is lean Republican will be around D+2 or D+3.