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To: NYRepublican72

The problem is that if the Ds have a 20% advantage-—but only 50% turnout they lose. If Rs have a 3-point deficit, but only a 75% turnout they lose. It’s always a factor of registrations PLUS turnout. Wl Cankles get even 95% of Zero’s 2012 turnout? No. George Will said Trump would need 60 m to win. I think be will get closer to 70 m.


50 posted on 06/27/2016 9:10:11 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

Correct, but turnout will determine the difference between D+6, where Hillary! wins and R Even or D+1, where the Republicans win.

The tipping point because the Is lean Republican will be around D+2 or D+3.


61 posted on 06/27/2016 9:22:37 AM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Radical Islamic terrorist Omar Mateen is "Ready for Hillary!" Are you too?)
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