I continue to maintain my opinion that Hillary is definitely ahead, although she is not in a strong position. Trump is at 84% with Republicans which is good. There's room to grow there. Almost the entire difference in this poll is Hillary's slight lead with Indies and the D/R spread.
These polls are now always skewed because a higher percentage of libs get polled. That said this is encouraging because it means Johnson is pulling more Democrats from Killary than he is from Trump.
I lie to pollsters.
I suggest we all do the same..........................
It all has to do with turnout. Also, we have three debates and the slim possibility of indictment.
This is still heavy D sample. GOP is about 32%. They are ignoring the party switch from Den to GOP and Indy.
The Ryan/Romney effect. Trump has to fight a two front war all the time.
Hillary is going to get about 42% of the vote, Trump is going to blow her out.
During the primaries, from NY to IN, Trump exceeded his Real Clear Politics average by 9 percentage points. I suspect that there may be more people out there who will vote for him, but just don’t tell the pollsters.
I refuse to believe hillary is actually do this well. I don’t see her supporters anywhere. I see no bumper stickers, here in Connecticut. Her events are poorly attended.
Strange the registered vs likely swings in a direction it usually doesn’t.
Polls are really an echo chamber for the pollster’s turnout model. They got it right in 2012 and 2008...but were wrong in 2004.
I’m waiting for the first debate before paying too much attention to the polls.
“Both major party nominees remain unpopular, but more voters say it is important to keep Trump rather than Clinton out of the White House.”
That right there is the problem. Yes, very few like Hillary, but they hate Trump more and fear him far more. That being the case, Hillary should win easily. The American people are hopelessly stupid.
Polls haven’t changed my view we’ll see Cankles in the White House next year.
We don’t live in a center-right country.
Not that people think conservatism means what it used to mean.
Don’t blame; I’m a realist and things are what they are.
Sounds about right to me. Lots of work to do, but not impossible.
Ask Bill about the tens of millions of dollars as he has made in speaking fees around the world, paid for by the same cast of characters, and you will get an equally charitable explanation: It’s evidence of his desire to help people. By giving these highly paid speeches, Clinton says, “ I try to help people think about what’s going on and organize their lives accordingly.”
http://www.cntraveler.com/stories/2007-08-15/q-a-how-bill-clinton-is-changing-the-world.
Internal Poll or Public Poll ?
Most likely folks are hiding their decision to support Trump because they do not want to called all kinds of names.
Maybe this poll is accurate, maybe it isn’t. Don’t dismiss polls you don’t like by saying “it’s a biased poll, we have nothing to worry about.” Don’t look at polls you agree with and say “See? Trump’s going to win in a landslide.” Assume nothing. Take nothing for granted. We need to approach this election with the belief that we will have to fight for every single vote right up until the last polling place closes. It’s better to fight harder than we needed to, then learn we won, than it will be to sit back, take things for granted, and discover afterwards we made a grave miscalculation.
The law dictates how much politicians can collect in campaign contributions, limits their ability to make money on the side,, and requires the disclosure of those contributors. Hopefully, politicians are also limited to some extent by their conscience. A sense of decency and good judgment ought to prevent politicians on both sides of the aisle from engaging in certain transactions—even if they think they can get away with it.
But while there is ample debate about which transactions should be limited and how, there is a near-universal agreement that the game, however muddy, should be exclusively played by Americans. For this reason, it has long been illegal for foreigners to contribute to US political campaigns. In 2012 two foreign nationals challenged the constitutionality of that law. The US Supreme Court decided 9-0 declaring the law not only constitutionals, but eminently reasonable.
The Clintons, however, often take money from foreign entities. And that money, donated to the Clinton Foundation or paid in speaking fees, comes in amounts much larger than any campaign contribution. Indeed, the scope and extent of these payments are without precedent in American politics. As a result, the Clintons have become exceedingly wealthy.
http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/bluman-v-federal-election-commission/.
ONLY good thing is she is under 50%. There has been a trend toward Trump in the polls since the Muzzi attack....