Joe, two words for you:
Lori Klausatis.
For their propaganda that claims that Trump is going to lose bigtime, they sure spend a lot of time fussing about it.
Poll freakouts
From LS | 06/15/2016 6:34:46 PM PDT new
I have gotten some frantic messages about polls. Just two weeks ago, Trump had gained dramatically on Cankles in several polls, led in a couple, and now it’s the end of the world?
Let’s look at a few polls:
In May 2008, John McCain led Obama by 6, yet within a few weeks Obama led McCain by 9-—a 15 point swing.
In June 2012, Obama led Romney by 5 but Romney surged into a lead in October, then two ties.
In June 1992, Bush led Clinton by 6 in a three-way, but when Perot dropped out in July he led by 8. Then, suddenly, Clinton shot up to a 20 point lead in July. The final was a Clinton 6-pont advantage.
In June 1996, Clinton was beating Dole by 16, but the final was only 8.
In June 1976, Carter led Ford by 18, but the final was 2 and I think had the race gone on one more month Carter would have lost.
In June of 1988, Dukakis led Bush by 17 in two different polls-—and ended up losing by 17 (that’s a 34 point flip, folks).
In June of 1984, Reagan led Mon-Dull by 9 . . . but ended up winning by 18-—double the polling estimate.
In June 1980, Jimmy Carter led Reagan by 7, but lost by 10 (a 17 point swing).
Nixon led McGovern by 16 in June of 1972-—but won by 23.
Humphrey led Nixon by 5 in June, but lost in a tie (Nixon gained 5 points).
Everyone remembers the Goldwater blowout, right? 23? Except in June LBJ was beating him by 56.
Although JFK won in 1960, it was a popular vote tie, and he had led Nixon by 4 in June.
Likewise Ike won reelection by 17 . . . but had led in June by 27. It was worse in 1950: Ike led by 28 in June, but won by only 11, a rather massive error.
The bottom line is that June polls are more likely to tell us who will LOSE by who is ahead in June.
Now, the polls that have come out have been mostly without any internals. We don’t know who is being polled.
For now, I would not get too concerned, unless you are Cankles.
How many terms did Scarborough serve in Congress?
Why did he leave?
A couple of more terrorist attacks and either Trump or Obama will be in prison.
Anecdotal evidence of a Trump landslide...I play Euchre on a phone app I have. There is a limited “chat” feature while you’re waiting for a game. It’s probably 3 to 1 Trump support on this app. The “1” aren’t usually people who support Hillary...I haven’t seen hardly any active supporters... but just people who are against Trump.
What did Joe’s hot little congressional intern say about this?
Oh, damn. That’s right. She was found dead in his office. So easy to forget.
He has drunk the KoolAid. He is toast. buh-bye.