That isn’t a counter argument.
That is Clinton finishing her primary.
That is why Cruz is where he is now, and these Clinton supporters by proxy are where they are.
4% points is a fluctuation that can zoom right back the other way in a week.
Yes. Absolutely. The really telling numbers are that neither of them have gotten past the low 40% mark, and 15% want someone else. This underscores several important points. One is that the VP pick will probably have more impact this election than in the past. Another, and a very important point, is that Trump needs to polish his populist message, bypass the media, and take a hopeful anti-politics as usual message directly to the people. Regarding the Mexican heritage judge issue, he should just go right to the people with a:
“My friends, my businesses have always been diverse, because I choose the best people - and the best people come from all walks of life. I have no prejudices or biases, except for honesty, hard work, and integrity - which as your President, working for you, I will demand from everyone in government - Republican or Democrat, woman or man, irrespective of race, color, background etc. Building a wall has nothing to do with racism, at any level and in any way. National borders aren't about racism. They are about sovereignty and protecting all the people of your nation, whatever their background, race or heritage. Protecting the United States is the most important function of the President, the Commander in Chief, after all.”
“When I made my comments about judge Curiel, they were not made because he has a Mexican heritage from his parents. I think that's wonderful. My comments about fairness were made because he has personally identified himself with groups connected to an ideology that believes large swaths of the US Southwest belong to Mexico, and who do not believe we have a right to have a border as such. He is aligned with groups who believe we should have an open southern border, and an amnesty approach to those who came here illegally. I have been very adamant and consistent about my position, which is that we have a right to have secure borders, both southern and northern, and to require and demand that people only come here legally. It's the only way to ensure our safety, and to prevent our goodwill and compassion from being used to hurt us. To call this racist is so very wrong, and is motivated by the same deceitful aspect of politics that has left so many of you disillusioned. Finally, just to clarify, Mexico is a country, not a race, just like America is a county, not a race. Let's not let those who for various reasons want to diminish our sovereignty twist the facts to fit their agenda.”
4 point difference swings back to a TIE with just 2% switching.