Additional Reference / Covers Delegates Allotted to Date
Click on the graphic for the source. You can right click view, to see a larger version of a specific graphic.
At the chance of being called a racist, my take is that
race played a larger role than today’s feminist role.
Get ready for your next “historic” president.
I do not believe they will cross over to Trump. It is not in their genes.
hillary-dillary was always the presumptive dhimmi nominee. The numbers reflect the prevailing attitude by leftists to that proposition.
In the general however you’ll see the gap made up with dead votes for sHrillary!
Not to sound proverbial, but I think this election represents a true turning point. I had thought, and it still can happen, this would be a Trump landslide. But after watching the pounding he has been taking the last few days by not only the media, but his own party, I think he can prevail but it will be a very tough slog. He is shining the lights on the cockroaches in our country...the media, the establishment, the free traders and those that want to see the demise of the United States through open, unfettered illegal immigration with no borders, and they don’t like the spotlight. Many of the aforementioned are being taken out of their cushy, comfort zone. As they say, you know you’re over the target when you receive the most flak, and Trump is taking, and has taken, and incredible amount of incoming. It will take all of our support and pressure to bear to make sure he crosses the finish line in November.
Supposedly the last time 65% of eligible US voters voted in national elections was back in 1908, less for state and local. It hasn’t broken that since, a lot of them being below 55%. At least by any thing that I have seen.
Nobody really seems to care that millions and millions in campaign money is spent to convince the swayable to vote one way or the other, and we still haven’t broken the bottom line 65% eligible voter turnout in 108 years. That is pretty amazing to me. I wonder if active primary races translate to higher general election turnout, and if this cycle will have better turnout in the general.
Freegards
There’s definitely a difference in enthusiasm with the Republican’s benefiting this time. Other than the hardcore Demobots that pull the lever every election, many of the others will stay home and not vote for Biden.
As for the Berned Bernie supporters I think a sizable number of them will move to Trump. I'm not talking about the brain dead millennials, but the rank and file democrats who voted for him because they are as fed up with the DC establishment as Trump's supporters are. It's all anecdotal, I admit, but I can't tell you how many voters I saw interviewed on news shows who said they were trying to decide between Trump and Bernie. With Bernie gone I'd bet that 10-15% of his support migrates to Trump. I also think that the same number will just stay home.
On the surface, those numbers would point to a Trump landslide in November. But other interpretations would include:
1. Republican turn-out was so high because it was heavily contested, with 17 candidates initially. Plus, once it was narrowed, there were enough zealots for each of the candidates remaining, that it drove continued high turnout. When it narrowed to 2, the pro-Trump and anti-Trump passions were high, as were those for/against Cruz (but to a lesser extent). That kept turnout high, as the contest went on so long.
2. On the Dem side, you have the “vote for any female” block that’s been just waiting for this historic moment, so “H” got some number of enthusiasts out for her. But I think those same folks will turn out in the same numbers in November, so the lower overall turnout doesn’t bode well for her. Bernie’s was truly a movement about socialism, and the continued economic ills Obama’s “leadership” created. These malcontents are convinced of a zero-sum game: they’re facing hardships because the rich people, or something. In fact, the Dem’s entire appeal to this mass is that all ills are traced back to the greed of the 1%. But NEITHER of these groups are large in number, and the bulk of the Dems look at the current party make-up and say “that’s not me, and that’s not who I am” - so they stayed home. This should also continue in November.
So the real questions to me are:
- how many newly created and highly-motivated pro-Trump voters will there be?
- how many of the anti-Trump Repubs from the primaries will hold their nose and vote anti-Hillary (for Trump)?
- how many anti-Hillary Dems will vote for Trump?
- how many on both sides will stay home?
- wildcard: will Hillary face indictment?
I think there is more excitement and support for Trump (net of the small but vocal “never Trump” crowd) than Hillary’s “first woman president” group.
I think the Bernie supports will split - some supporting any Dem (including Hillary) before any Repub (regardless of Trump). Others, and in large numbers, will never vote Hillary - or any other ESTABLISHMENT candidate. Here, Trump could snare some defectors. But the big message here is that pro-Bernie will NOT mean pro-Hillary.
Finally, there are more registered Dems than Repubs now than in 2008 and 2012 - both in real numbers, and a percentages of voting-age people. That’s a real, structural deficit that has to be overcome by the other facts, above.
Trump in a squeeker - unless he does something monumentally stupid.
Additional Reference / Covers Delegates Allotted to Date
Click on the graphic for the source. You can right click view, to see a larger version of a specific graphic.
My take is Hillary only needs 765,000 fraudulent votes to become the next dictator.
As someone else pointed out, the judge would fail the jury test due to his associations....