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To: Trumpinator
This is a thorny issue, and I know I will be flamed for this, but, just step back and think about this for a minute. (And, I do not necessarily back this, but I think that we need to refrain from the typical knee-jerk reaction on this). Anyway, let's say China is selling steel . The people of China have decided to loose money on every ton they sell. Why not take advantage of this generous, if not misguided gift? Why not say, "well, if you want to sell me steel at a steal (you didn't think you'd get away without a pun from me, did you?) I will buy all you can produce.

Now, before you get all flame happy, hear me out. Wouldn't the best way to deal with 'dumping' is to bankrupt the dumper? If I can get a comodity dirt cheap, why not exploit it? And before you preach to me about American jobs, well, the way I see it, you have two entities trying to mess with free markets. Chinese steel producers and American steel worker unions. One wants me to pay more than the market price for steel, and the other, less. What does the steel workers union do for me? Sure, the unions will say, keep the money in America. But if I can buy something made of steel more cheaply, I can keep the money in my pocket

Okay, let the flaming begin!

6 posted on 05/23/2016 12:55:04 AM PDT by fhayek (.)
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To: fhayek

And then we’ll have no steel factories and the chinese can charge whatever they want. Dumb solution.


7 posted on 05/23/2016 1:17:17 AM PDT by RedWulf (End Free trade.)
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To: fhayek
Sorry not going to flame you.

I suppose the concern is that if China subsidizes their steel industry to the point that competition can be destroyed they can raise the price later with impunity.

I do not know how serious a threat that scenario is because I don't know the numbers nor do I have a good feel for how long it takes to tear down or build back up competition.

9 posted on 05/23/2016 1:21:09 AM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: fhayek

Not enough money to bankrupt the Chinese. Okay, maybe by printing another trillion US debt notes and buying steel with that ‘money’. But then you still end up with the debt.


10 posted on 05/23/2016 1:36:24 AM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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To: fhayek

No flames here, just logic. You have an interesting premise. Let’s say that there are two animals living in a cage where only enough oxygen can get in to nourish them if they both act the same way. One animal decides to consume all the oxygen. The other animal will quickly die and then there will be just one.

Once there is just one animal, what do you think will happen to the price of steel?

You can’t shut down the steel production in the US and wait for better times. Once shut down the creditors will sell the assets and there will be nothing to restart. What the Chinese are doing is no different than the nineteenth century cartels.


11 posted on 05/23/2016 2:59:53 AM PDT by Gen.Blather
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To: fhayek

Economic Free Trade radicalism = the road to socialism.


14 posted on 05/23/2016 3:21:55 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: fhayek

One other parameter that I think you overlooked is that China essentially uses slave labor. Flooding the market with steel that would bankrupt an American is not necessarily a hardship for a Chinese company that pays its workers a few dollars a day.

If the playing field were equal, then the dynamics would be different: any given company would have only a limited ability to flood the market.

But that’s not what we have. China’s ability to flood the market is as expansive as its population.

One other consideration is Chinese quality control: it exists on paper. We get the cheap goods, but that old adage “you get what you pay for” is completely true. When you buy steel that does not meet your specifications, did you really save money?

A third consideration is that our manufacturing base is shrinking, and our economy is only as large as our ability to manufacture products. If no one is manufacturing anything, we have no economy. Sure, we can keep the printing presses rolling, but the money we print is worthless without a GDP to give it value. At some point, the Chinese are not going to be satisfied with receiving money that is worth nothing—they actually do want something of value for the stuff they are dumping on our market.


18 posted on 05/23/2016 3:24:59 AM PDT by exDemMom (Current visual of the hole the US continues to dig itself into: http://www.usdebtclock.org/)
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To: fhayek

Do you support antitrust laws?


19 posted on 05/23/2016 3:29:04 AM PDT by gogeo (Donald Trump. Because it's finally come to that.)
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To: fhayek

What you say (buy the cheap steel, let the chips fall where they may) would be fine IF opening and closing our plants, including retraining workers and tooling up equipment were not costly in terms of money and time, and if a certain amount of steelmaking capacity was not also a strategic necessity.

If China were to dedicate itself to supplying all of the world’s steel at a loss, say for domestic employment reasons, and no one were worried about not being able to make their own in a possible time of war, or downstream monopolistic behavior, it would make sense to let them do it. But, there are other considerations.


24 posted on 05/23/2016 5:01:37 AM PDT by Pearls Before Swine
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To: fhayek

It’s an old trick, lower your prices until your competitors go out of business, then you can charge whatever you want. It’s called monopoly capitalism. Once our industry is gone it won’t come back cheaply or quickly. Maybe never. That’s why the Saudis are glutting the market with oil. If they can keep the price down our domestic production companies will go out of business, and it would take a decade or more to bring it back. Our founders understood it, and that’s why they were advocates of tariffs.


26 posted on 05/23/2016 5:07:07 AM PDT by Hugin (Conservatism without Nationalism is a fraud.)
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To: fhayek
Anyway, let's say China is selling steel . The people of China have decided to loose money on every ton they sell. Why not take advantage of this generous, if not misguided gift?

Short sighted stupidity. This is what afflicts the Wall Street idiocy. The aim of such tactics is to destroy the competition - then once that is done the prices go up. Once an infrastructure is gone it is almost impossible to re-create it.

In the meantime the American economy is hurt by loss of jobs, etc. So the savings gained from buying steel by a manufacturer are not worth it in the long view.

31 posted on 05/23/2016 7:12:27 AM PDT by Trumpinator ("Are you Batman?" the boy asked. "I am Batman," Trump said. youtube.com/watch?v=HZA9k7WAuiY)
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