Solid D | Likely D | Lean D | Toss Up | Lean R | Likely R | Solid R | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 STATES | 2 STATES* | 6 STATES | 4 STATES* | 2 STATES | 2 STATES | 19 STATES | ||||||
California (55)
Connecticut (7)
Delaware (3)
District of Columbia (3)
Hawaii (4)
Illinois (20)
Maine-AL (2)
Maine-01 (1)
Maryland (10)
Massachusetts (11)
New Mexico (5)
New Jersey (14)
New York (29)
Oregon (7)
Rhode Island (4)
Vermont (3)
Washington (12) |
Maine-02 (1)
Michigan (16)
Minnesota (10)
|
Colorado (9)
Florida (29)
Nevada (6)
Pennsylvania (20)
Virginia (13)
Wisconsin (10)
|
Iowa (6)
Nebraska-02 (1)
New Hampshire (4)
North Carolina (15)
Ohio (18)
|
Arizona (11)
Georgia (16) |
Indiana (11)
Missouri (10)
|
Alabama (9)
Alaska (3)
Arkansas (6)
Idaho (4)
Kansas (6)
Kentucky (8)
Louisiana (8)
Mississippi (6)
Montana (3)
Nebraska-AL (2)
Nebraska-01 (1)
Nebraska-03 (1)
North Dakota (3)
Oklahoma (7)
South Carolina (9)
South Dakota (3)
Tennessee (11)
Texas (38)
Utah (6)
West Virginia (5)
Wyoming (3) |
||||||
190 votes |
27 votes |
87 votes |
44 votes |
27 votes |
21 votes |
142 votes |
This is just one estimate, but analysis is welcome.
The key is Florida. Trump needs a popular running mate from Florida. Hate to say it but he needs Rubio.
Trump and Rubio combined got more primary votes in Fla than the witch and the commie. But the witch got more than Trump. Trump should make a deal with Rubio. Something like this: Trump promises to be a one termer if Rubio jouns the ticket.
I use the Windows Snipping Tool to grab the Cook Report image and then upload the image to tinypic.com. Tinypic will give you a link to the image that you can then embed in a standard HTML image tag. Pretty easy actually.
Remember Charlie Cook is a Democrat operative.
First, this should not be ignored. Trump had to do a lot of work to win the primaries in so many states. The upcoming election is not magic, where Trump can coast until November and win. Trump has to work even harder for a win in the general election.
Second, this article is not decisive. This is not based on recent polls, and the polls they have are old and not representative of reality. Trump is not guaranteed a loss just because of this dated analysis.
I dont think that the Democrats are going to survive Trump.
Great Charlie Cook has called the election so I guess we don’t need to bother voting.