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To: NYRepublican72

http://hotair.com/archives/2016/04/24/hewitt-its-doubtful-that-trump-reaches-1237-delegates-unless-a-political-asteroid-hits-california/

“Hewitt said he went state-by-state and gave Trump very generous amounts of delegates in his projection, including 51 of 59 of Indiana’s slate. Trump needs 392 delegates to clinch the nomination. Hewitt said Trump probably wouldn’t get any delegates in Nebraska, South Dakota, or Montana, which means in 14 out of the 15 contests left, the billionaire would only get 273–and it’s doubtful he will do well in California, in which he would need to win 119 of the 172 delegates in that contest”


61 posted on 05/02/2016 1:30:54 PM PDT by MNDude (God is not a Republican, but Satan is certainly a Democrat.)
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To: MNDude

That’s not my back of the envelope math.

Trump is at 950 (almost 1,000 if you include the PA unpledged).

NJ is a lock (51 delegates)
WV should be a lock, but the delegate election is confusing (so let’s say 30 of 36).
Trump should get minimum 40 delegates from WA, OR, NM, which are proportional).

That’s about 120 delegates, so now put Trump at 1,070 (1,120 including PA unpledged, etc). He now needs somewhere betwen 120 and 170 to secure the nomination.

Add IN at 51 of 57 and the margin is down to 70/120 for California.... Very, very doable.

And that assumes 0 from NE, MT and SD.


64 posted on 05/02/2016 1:36:58 PM PDT by NYRepublican72 (Democrats -- it's always someone else's fault.)
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To: MNDude

Hewitt is unlistenable, as is Medved, Levin, and even Rush.

Hugh’s a neocon who can’t stand the thought that business as usual is coming to an end.


77 posted on 05/02/2016 1:48:05 PM PDT by Deo volente ("NAFTA, GATT, WTO, New World Order." George Putnam, among others, warned us.)
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To: MNDude

Trump already has over 1,000 delegates so what reality is Hewitt dealing with?


78 posted on 05/02/2016 1:49:33 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: MNDude

Hewitt has the worst record of predicting elections of anybody. Now he’s math challenged too.


84 posted on 05/02/2016 2:11:24 PM PDT by Hugin (Conservatism without Nationalism is a fraud.)
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To: MNDude

“Hewitt said he went state-by-state and gave Trump very generous amounts of delegates in his projection,”

Hewitt is another radio show I used to listen to. He just has to much RINO in his blood for me. I have not listened in years and now I hear he has gone to a morning show.


86 posted on 05/02/2016 2:27:13 PM PDT by Parley Baer
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To: MNDude

“Hewitt said he went state-by-state and gave Trump very generous amounts of delegates in his projection, including 51 of 59 of Indiana’s slate. Trump needs 392 delegates to clinch the nomination. Hewitt said Trump probably wouldn’t get any delegates in Nebraska, South Dakota, or Montana, which means in 14 out of the 15 contests left, the billionaire would only get 273–and it’s doubtful he will do well in California, in which he would need to win 119 of the 172 delegates in that contest”
_____________________________

Hewitt is in a parallel universe.

Trump currently has 1002 delegates.

If Trump gets 273 delegates according to Hewitt’s estimate that means Trump gets 1275 delegates. End of discussion.

Trump will get more like 1300-1400 delegates!

Hewitt was the guy who kept saying Trump was never going to win because there was no way he would break 50%.


91 posted on 05/02/2016 2:38:24 PM PDT by GilGil
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To: MNDude
posted at 8:01 pm on April 24, 2016

Out of date - nuff said.

122 posted on 05/02/2016 5:21:26 PM PDT by CedarDave (Extremist Muslims want to kill you; moderate Muslims want extremist Muslims to kill you.)
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