Bernie's rallies have been much larger and more enthusiastic than Hillaries, but she's still winning.
It's interesting that the 538.com "polls plus" model gives Cruz over a 70% chance of winning. I'm not sure what makes up the "plus" exactly, but I'm not sure I'd write Cruz off in Indiana just because of a 1/2 empty rally Friday.
Bernie’s rallies have been much larger and more enthusiastic than Hillaries, but she’s still winning.
________________________________
She is winning because the primaries are rigged. When Bernie was on a winning streak winning 9 states on a row, Hillary got the majority of the delegates.
Immmm apparently you have not been watching the republican side of the primaries. Trump has been drawing ever larger crowds.
At this point with the rent a thug groups damaging folks who stand in line to see Trump, I don’t think it is a matter of casually going to see a personality.
The electorate is fired up. Cruz has been doing very poorly for a long time. He started off by taking the South for granted. That led to him being behind from the get go. The talk early on was that Trump wouldn’t do well in the South ut would maybe make it up else where. The likely folks who were ‘supposed’ to do well in the South were Bush, rubio, Cruz, and maybe Carson.
Trump proved them all wrong. He continues to do so where people are actually allowed to vote.
I know that Cruz die hards think he can delay Trump and then win on a second or third ballot. As much as that strategy may have made sense to some one, it is NOT working.
I don’t know who convinced Ted that this was the way to go but it is the way he campaigned from the start. He played not to lose. Tough toenails. He’s losing and he can’t believe that “that gut” is beating him
I think it’s pretty funny. Since one should always go for the win
The Princeton Election Consortium has been looking at the accuracy of the polling prognosticators this season and found that 538’s “polls only” forecast was more accurate than his “polls plus” forecast. 538’s “polls only” forecast gives Trump a 71% chance of winning Indiana.
“but I’m not sure I’d write Cruz off in Indiana just because of a 1/2 empty rally Friday.”
Certainly not. He has the GOPe behind him. Anything to stop Trump they will do. Even if it means supporting the most despised man in Washington DC. With Trump sitting in the White House everything changes. With Cruz nothing changes. He’s establishment, just one who’s despised. But his bread is buttered exactly the way all the others are.
“Ted Cruz is owned by Wall St.” ~ Ron Paul
“rally’s”
rallies
Downs poll first since 2011
I would.