Posted on 04/22/2016 8:51:58 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
A poll of likely New Hampshire voters conducted by WMUR and the University of New Hampshire finds Hillary Clinton with big double-digit leads over both Donald Trump and Ted Cruz in head-to-head general election matchups. A press release for the poll reads:
If the 2016 presidential election was held today and the candidates were Clinton and Trump, 50% of likely New Hampshire voters say they would vote for Clinton, 31% would vote for Trump, 15% would support another candidate and 4% are undecided. Clinton does better among Democrats (83% to 4%) than Trump does among Republicans (68% to 13%), while Independents are divided (33% for Clinton and 31% for Trump). Support among men for Trump has dissipated in recent months as men currently favor Clinton 42% to 40% while Clinton leads 57% to 23% among women. Support for Trump has decreased 8 percentage points since February.
If the candidates were Clinton and Cruz, 48% of likely New Hampshire voters say they would vote for Clinton, 34% would vote for Cruz, 15% would support another candidate and 3% are undecided. Clinton leads among Democrats 83% to 4%, Cruz leads 71% to 7% among Republicans and Independents lean towards Cruz by 42% to 32%. Similar to her matchup against Trump, Clinton essentially tied among men (42% to 39%) but leads by double digits among women (53% to 29%). A Cruz – Clinton race has stayed steady since February.
So Trump loses by 19 points while Cruz loses by fourteen. Both results are well outside the 3.9% margin of error. The only GOP candidate who beats Clinton in a matchup is Kasich. He wins with 50% to 36% for Clinton.
Matchups with Sanders as the Democratic nominee have similar results except that Cruz loses by 31 points (61-30) while Trump loses by 27 (58-31). Finally, Sanders beats Kasich narrowly by 50% to 44 percent.
The results of all of these matchups seem to boil down to net favorability (as they always seem to do). The poll found Sanders and Kasich are the only remaining candidates with net positive favorability while Trump, Cruz and Clinton are all in net negative territory. This graph from the press release shows the favorability (in blue) for each candidate as well as the unfavorable numbers (in red):
The poll did identify one thing that both parties agree on: Nearly 80% of Democrats and just over 90% of Republicans say the political climate is worse than it was 20 years ago:
Pretty much. Conservatives saw the writing on the wall, and got the hell out. They were replaced by suburban New Yorkers and their ilk from nearby states. Anything north of I-64 and east of I-81 should be written off. Conservatives in that region who live in denial thinking things will get better need to face reality and get out. Now.
JBW1949 wrote: “ What an asinine poll!!! The general campaign hasn’t even started yet...ROFL...”
If this poll had shown Trump beating Hillary by 30 points, how long would it take for his supporters to post those results? How many would claim the poll would be asinine?
A poll from New Hampshire...? What the hell do you expect???
Socialist rapists.
This bs post deserves the same treatment, this previous bs got!
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3423602/posts
All I hear is disgust and loathing for the corrupt, treasonous, Benghazi murderess. This poll is beyond ridiculous.
Have fun!
After yellowstone blows they both lose to fred flintstone...
What a stupid article.
Polls can be worded or construed in many various ways to elicit the wanted outcome...
I say that 90% of the polls...ALL polls are asinine...The only “poll” that counts is the one taken in November....
“You keep posting the anti-Trump clap-trap & these useless general election polling numbers.
At this point do you actually think you are changing minds with this crap?”
This poster is another one who spits in Jim’s face several times each day with his anti-Trump Clap-Trap posts.
He know that his bs will not change a single Trump voter. He wants to waste our time and divert our energy to defeat Clintoon!
One these days his/these posts will get the same treatment as this piece of you know what got.
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3423602/posts
Just saying.
heh
Jedi.
“What an asinine poll!!!
The general campaign hasn’t even started yet...ROFL...”
You are correct. Jimmy Carter was beating Ronald Reagan at this point in time. We all know how that turned out.
Ridiculous poll.
Trump has not yet begun to fight.
When he gets through w/ Hillary, she’ll wish she hadn’t had these foolish presidential ambitions.
Exactly...Polls can be construed to give whatever results the pollsters wish...
The only real poll is the one in November...
Its probably the women of New Hampshire, saw many good looking ones but then again most of them were uber left so it would not have worked out anyways.
ABC= Anyone But Cruz or Clinton...
Just like Reagan was supposed to lose to Carter by 20 points
The Reagan Carter comparison nonsense needs to stop. There must be some fax sent out to Trumpers to keep repeating the same talking point.
I heard the same thing with the Romney vs Obama polls.
Clinton will sweep the NE. Trump is more competitive than Cruz would have been in those areas. But those are solid blue. All democrats running for president have a solid blue wall now that will have to be overcome. Even a Democrat as bad as Hillary has it. Reagan carried CA twice. Trump will not
It’s going to be the typical swing state election.
And why would you not want to vote for Cruz if he were the candidate against Clinton?
I’d vote for Trump if he were the candidate.
If this poll had shown Trump beating Hillary by 30 points, how long would it take for his supporters to post those results? How many would claim the poll would be asinine?
You know the answer to that ;)
I’m reading verbatim the same things here as 2012 regarding the polls. Nothing’s changed except the faces
LMAO wrote: “I’m reading verbatim the same things here as 2012 regarding the polls.”
How did that turn out?
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