And you believe every poll you read, yes?
THE ONLY POLL THAT COUNTS IS IN NOVEMBER.
Most people are rightly skeptical of polls as well they should be. Some polls are BS. Other polls are highly partisan. Some polls are skewered to obtain a desired result. Other polls have samples that are way too small to have any significant meaning.
There is only one way to look at polls. Look at all of them. Go to Realclearpoltics.com where they average them out. Stay with the reliable ones like Gallup and Rasmussen.
Generally speaking if ALL of the polls are saying the SAME thing, they are usually right.