Posted on 04/22/2016 7:20:29 AM PDT by mac_truck
April 26:
Pennsylvania: Trump leads in every poll and is on pace to win the 17 pledged delegates that will go to statewide winner. The 54 unbound delegates will be selected in the primary and will be free to vote for whomever they want at the national convention. Even if they declare a candidate preference before the convention, they will not be formally bound to it in any way. That said, a large number of them are already committing publicly to supporting whichever candidate wins their congressional district – or at least to weighing the district result heavily in their decision. Trump may have trouble in a few districts around Philadelphia, but his wide poll lead suggests he’s on course to run up wide margins across most of the state. Practically speaking, it may be very hard for an unbound delegate who wins his or her slot by vowing to honor the results in his or her district to wiggle out of that commitment in the face of a Trump landslide. Target: 17 pledged delegates plus 36 unbound
Maryland (38 delegates): Trump leads state by a wide margin and should easily win the 14 delegates that come with a statewide victory. The other 24 are given out by congressional district – three to the winner of each of the state’s eight districts. Target: 32 delegates
Delaware (16): It’s a winner-take-all state and Trump leads big. Target: 16
Connecticut (28): If Trump can break 50 percent statewide, he should sweep state. Currently, Trump is running at 48 percent statewide. Target: 28
Rhode Island (19): Demographically, state is a perfect fit for Trump and should produce one of his largest margins. The bad-news: Its system for delegate allocation is highly proportional, limiting his potential gains. Target: 10
(Excerpt) Read more at msnbc.com ...
And you believe every poll you read, yes?
THE ONLY POLL THAT COUNTS IS IN NOVEMBER.
Pinatas huh.
You must be talking to all the WETBACKS, and they are not allowed to vote.
Well; perhaps here in California, not legally, but they will still vote. Kind of like Loretta Sanchez beating Bob Dornan.
Most people are rightly skeptical of polls as well they should be. Some polls are BS. Other polls are highly partisan. Some polls are skewered to obtain a desired result. Other polls have samples that are way too small to have any significant meaning.
There is only one way to look at polls. Look at all of them. Go to Realclearpoltics.com where they average them out. Stay with the reliable ones like Gallup and Rasmussen.
Generally speaking if ALL of the polls are saying the SAME thing, they are usually right.
I’ve got news for you. Yes there are 11 million or so illegal aliens in this country who shouldn’t be here. But there are millions more who are here legally. My wife is Hispanic. She was born here in L.A. Her parents were both born in Mexico, came to the US legally, and have since become US citizens. Successful politics is all about addition and multiplication and putting together a winning coalition. In the business world, you can have your brand and your market share and do quite well for yourself as Donald Trump has done. In the political world, you need to win a majority of the market share in order to be successful. And Donald Trump has a long way to go before he gets anywhere near a majority of the market share among the overall electorate.
Good analysis...bump!
Trump should concentrate on Connecticut and Rhode Island, since they allocated delegates proportionately.
It may all come down to Indiana.
The state’s that he has going to Cruz wholly: what are these voters thinking? Cruz won’t be President. He isn’t the practicing Christian they might be. He may be a Christian, I don’t doubt it, but he doesn’t — obviously — practice even the basic honesty required of a good Christian.
Voting for someone because your religions match is like voting for someone because your genitals match.
I think Cruz WAS an early pick from Trump for Veep. I think Cruz’s character got him out of consideration.
I’m thinking the Trump train absolutely HAS to make stops in your area (if you are in the Central Valley) and mine (Orange County). I definitely want the experience of going to a Trump rally. Haven’t been to any rally since Sarah Palin came to LA. Most don’t bother with CA.
Oh wait, I did see Romney who was a few blocks away at the Long Beach airport the night before I cast my vote. That was a tiny rally.
I agree. Voting Cruz now when he has no chance becomes a “Hurt Trump, Help Hillary” vote. I’d like to think that some of the Cruz voters will reconsider. I can imagine how bitter they might be, but their candidate was the guy who ruined his campaign; the voters are still awesome conservatives voting on a principle their candidate did NOT uphold.
Not everywhere. There are a lot of Trump supporters out here. But there are a lot of low infos who are against him because of media lies. Trump doesn’t hate Latinos. He wants to have borders on our country. My friend whose husband and kids are Hispanic doesn’t like him because she thinks he is racist. Trump needs to come out here and talk to these people. They can also look at his shows where minorities were over represented and won a lot.
“I think Cruz WAS an early pick from Trump for Veep. I think Cruz’s character got him out of consideration.”
He definitely WAS a consideration, Trump specifically said so in an early debate. Unfortunately, Cruz laughed it off. Was probably a foolish and arrogant response.
It was his success that caused things to get heated, not his character, in my opinion.
And I still think a Trump-Cruz ticket would be the strongest possible ticket.
I think the only way that might be possible now is in a contested convention. There is a slim chance.
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