Posted on 04/21/2016 8:57:16 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
Yes, there are less registered Republicans in NY than registered Democrats. Both needed to have been registered months ago to vote in the respective party primaries.
The primary elections do not reflect what would be the result of the general election in NY.
Trump will win New York in the general election.
The only reason I noticed he rode the lightning was because one of his last replies was to me. Then. Poof. I hope it wasn’t my fault. LOL.
Correct. It was a closed primary. There are way more registered Dems in NY than Repubs.
How many independents will vote for Trump in the general election? That’s the key question. He may get enough of them to defeat Hillary.
You assume that bern's voters will go to the bitch, not so. There will be millions of cross over white, working demonRATs.
NY will be in play and PA is a shoe in for Trump.
Trump got 524,932 votes. Romney got 103,142 in the NY State primary.
And that’s not including what he would have gotten if this was open primary.
I commend the bravery of all posts that challenge the Trump GOPE machine.
Mitt Romney and Donald Trump couldn't be more different. It seems bizarre that you're trying to draw any conclusions by using Romney's numbers to predict Trump's.
Mitt and Trump couldn't be more different? Really?
Compared to who? Obama? Hillary?
It's not a comparison of just candidates. It's a comparison of choices of candidates.
The choice in '12 was Obama vs Mitt. The choice in '16 would be Hillary vs. Trump.
The number of voters who voted for Obama instead of Mitt in '12 and who would switch over to vote for Trump instead of Hillary would be small.
It's as I said.
Enrollment statistics don’t mean much in NY. A lot of NY Democrats are DINOs who vote like Independents in the general.
I might add that a lot of NY voters enroll in a party only because they know that’s how you get to vote in primaries. And most of the interesting primary races in NY are between Democrats. So this inflates Democrat enrollment. Getting those votes in the fall is another matter.
Just so. Despite his pretenses, Cruz is no real conservative, as he pretends, but an establishment GOPer. He’d rather give the White House to Hillary than let Trump win, because Trump would deprive him and his pals of their wheels and deals.
Another reason to enroll Democrat is to be able to get in on patronage. The Democrat bosses still want to know: Are you a Democrat? And do you contribute? Or will you?
In 2008, the last time we had an open presidential contest, the NY State Republican primary saw 670,000 votes while the Democrats totaled 1.89 million.
So, to put in in perspective, compared to 2008 the level of D participation in the primary was roughly the same (slightly lower, but NY has lost population since 2008) while the R participation was up over 25% from 2008 (despite that population decline), and more than quadruple 2012.
As has been pointed out, NY's primaries are closed, so the relative raw numbers are no surprise there there are far more registered Democrats than Republicans in NY. But party affiliation doesn't matter in the general election, which is why Trump's crossover appeal will be felt in full force there.
In 2012 NYers cast 7.1 million votes for president. I expect that number to be higher in 2016 and a lot of them will be pulling an R level for the first time for Trump. And that's why NY is in play for November.
What is this writer drinking?.....I believe he got banned from here, or opused.
This account opus'd out via profane personal attacks against fellow FReepers and profanity laced freepmail. Worst case of suicide by mod we've ever seen.
95% of NYS Democrats voted for Obama in '12.
The Trump Derangement Syndrome is strong in this one.
http://www.redstate.com/diary/creinstein/2016/04/20/new-york-never-mattered-ted-cruz-won-presidency/
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