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To: tennmountainman

Cruz is definitely eliminated from first ballot. Needs 101% of remaining delegates! It’s over for Cruz.

It’s an unrealistic pipe dream that Cruz will somehow win a second ballot vote, even if it happened.

Worse case scenario, Trump has 1100 delegates going into the convention. And that’s only if he tanks badly in a lot of the upcoming contests. That will mean that Cruz will be around 850, with Rubio and Kasich splitting most of the remaining 400. About 150 more will be unbound.

In that situation, Trump will easily be able to secure victory on first ballot by making some deals and he’ll be in position of strength to do so.

But that’s worst case! Far more likely, Trump will have 1200-1300 delegates and he’ll punch his own ticket.

Cruz took a major blow last night. 15% is a disastrous performance and indicates he cannot be a national candidate. He may do even worse next week. He should make a deal with Trump now before his bargaining position is made even weaker by upcoming events.


30 posted on 04/20/2016 4:10:36 AM PDT by SamAdams76
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To: SamAdams76

Trump would be stupid to make a deal


31 posted on 04/20/2016 4:14:43 AM PDT by nikos1121 (Think of how stupid the average person is; realize half of them are stupider than that. Geo Carlin.)
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To: SamAdams76
-- He [Cruz] should make a deal with Trump now before his bargaining position is made even weaker by upcoming events. --

I don't think Trump is interested in any deal with Cruz. Cruz's bargaining position is already toast, mostly due to his conduct, but also due to his performance and lack of general-election popularity.

Sarah Huckabee Sanders on CNN. Moderator says Trump was not expected to perform this well, Sanders agrees, and says that momentum is in Trump's favor. GOP turnout up 33%, DEM turnout flat. Huge deal for the general, seen though the raw number has DEM's outnumbering GOP. Sanders says that as Trump is viewed as the presumptive nominee, Trump will transition to a less confrontational persona, attention on Hillary. Probably not the last time we have heard "Lyin' Ted," somewhat depends on Cruz's reaction and statements.

32 posted on 04/20/2016 4:26:45 AM PDT by Cboldt
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To: SamAdams76
He should make a deal with Trump...

Yes, and the deal should be: I'm dropping out now...OK?

59 posted on 04/20/2016 5:51:39 AM PDT by ROCKLOBSTER (Ohhh....Derka derka derka!)
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To: SamAdams76

Trump on makes great deals....that automatically eliminates cRuz ;-)


63 posted on 04/20/2016 6:04:00 AM PDT by Jane Long (Go Trump, go! Make America Safe Again :)
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To: SamAdams76

I want Trump to punch his own ticket I REALLY don’t want him to be forced to take one of these bastards onto his ticket!!!!


75 posted on 04/20/2016 6:59:10 AM PDT by Kit cat (Yosemite Sam raising hell)
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