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To: Pollster1

How do you explain Neil Bush being on Cruz’s campaign team? Cruz’s resume and that maneuver plant him firmly in the Bushes.


30 posted on 04/19/2016 3:24:03 AM PDT by grania
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To: grania
How do you explain Neil Bush being on Cruz’s campaign team? Cruz’s resume and that maneuver plant him firmly in the Bushes.

Actually, no. Cruz worked in both Texas and DC, so there is a Bush connection, as with everyone who worked in either location during those time frames, but the Cruz policies have been very different. Bush was a compromiser, giving liberals some of what they wanted in return for a tiny bit of what Bush wanted. Cruz doesn't do that. Neil Bush is establishment, and I'm certain his plan is, as many other Trump supporters have speculated, to use Cruz as a spoiler to stop Trump and then betray Cruz at the convention.

Cruz is planning to use the establishment forces to stop Trump and then surprise them with more loyal delegates at the convention than they have. I don't have much faith in the Cruz plan - the establishment is much more practiced at betrayal than he is. I hope I'm wrong, but I don't believe all the delegates Cruz considers loyal to him actually are.

However, I'm okay with the Cruz plan too. The best thing for Trump is (obviously) a one-man race where everyone else drops out. That's not going to happen, not when Kasich hopes to be the last alternative standing. If Kasich stays (a guarantee), the next best option for Trump is a three-man race (that has been analyzed in a very large number of elections, and it's generally true, plus I've done the analysis on this race in particular, and it's true for the Trump/Cruz/Kasich race). I want Cruz to stay in because that gives Trump the best chance for a first-ballot victory at the Convention among the available options.

51 posted on 04/19/2016 5:29:03 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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