Does anybody know where Trump is vulnerable in NY? I think he has a good shot at carrying every congressional district with >50% of the vote.
Analysis I saw figured that Trump might lose 5 or so delegates in Congressional districts where he does not get a majority.
Trump is vulnerable in UPSTATE NY.
“Ted Cruz, a breath of fresh air in Upstate!
“..Yet, so many wonderful, hardworking New York natives have fled our state. Why? Because of corrupt, bullying dictator politics, over regulation, oppressive taxes, and zero job growth! So it was refreshing to have a level headed candidate, who actually respects the Constitution, come and address voters in our area. People in upstate are hurting economically and the power hungry Albany machine has done nothing to help.
Ted Cruz is morally grounded and reveres God. One of the things that is of utmost importance to the Christian voter is that he values protecting innocent life. Again, unlike New York blowhards-(Gov. Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Chuck Schumer, and Paul Tonko) Ted Cruz is opposed to abortion. He actually takes to heart and respects that God is the creator of life…all life!
While our own ‘Dictator in Chief’ (Andrew Cuomo) wastes his time, and our money, making ridiculous travel bans to Mississippi and North Carolina, and has repeatedly told fellow conservative New Yorkers we aren’t welcome here….Ted Cruz focuses on smaller Government, tax alleviation, and job creation- something conservatives have been longing to hear from a serious candidate. Conservatives understand that in order to see any economy thrive we need to stop over-regulation and decrease the taxes.”
ALB. TIMES UNION http://blog.timesunion.com/joy/ted-cruz-a-breath-of-fresh-air-in-upstate-2/2107/2103/
He’s running ahead of both Romney 2012 and McCain 2008 and they ended up getting all the New York delegates. Trump is going to get well over 1 million votes from New York which will be bigger than twice the Romney and McCain results combined. There is also the fact that New York is Trump’s home turf so like Cruz in Texas and Kasich in Ohio he will get an automatic +5 or more on top of whatever his rcp avg is. Trump is very likely to get +60% of the vote tomorrow and if he does he will win every New York delegate. McCain only got 51% of the vote and still won every New York congressional district so anyone who is holding out hope that Trump will falter in NY is really naïve. Its going to be a blow out of epic proportions.
From the 0ptimus Poll (really a Trump worse case — he polled 49, 51 when undecideds were pushed).
They were very pro-Kasich in WI. There’s rumors that it was a coordinated internal.
Here are the CDs where Trump was under 50 in that poll.
Pro-Kasich CD 7 (Brooklyn), CD 12 (Manhattan. Queens), CD 13 (Manhattan, Bronx), CD 15 (South Bronx), CD 16 (North Bronx/Southern Westchester), CD 19 (Hudson Valley), CD 20 (Albany), CD 21 (Watertown, Plattsburgh, Adirondacks), CD 22 (Rome, Utica, Southern Tier), CD 23 (SW NY, Ithaca, Corning, Fredonia), CD 24 (Syracuse), CD 25 (Rochester), CD 26 (Buffalo), CD 27 (Buffalo Suburbs)
Pro-Cruz CD 9 (Brooklyn) CD 10 (Brooklyn/Manhattan)