Posted on 04/07/2016 6:29:34 PM PDT by Kaslin
“I am more and more convinced that our campaign is going to earn the 1,237 delegates needed to win,” said Cruz after winning by a landslide in Wisconsin. But what he didn’t say is that to do that before the nominating convention, he has to amass nearly 82% of all remaining delegates -- a virtual impossibility.
Cruz knows only a miracle can get him to the coveted 1237 delegates needed prior to Cleveland. “I’m encouraged by seeing Republicans coming together and uniting behind our campaign,” Cruz recently said, arguing that old rivals rallying to him is “proof miracles can happen.”
The parting of the Red Sea is a better proof that miracles happen. But apart from divine intervention, it’s mathematically clear that the waves of Republican delegates will not be blown over to Ted’s side for a win before the GOP gathering this summer.
What can be counted on, however, is that the hard-hearted establishment cronies and elites will continue to unleash their full arsenal of sorceries, like Pharaoh against Moses, to thwart the people from actually choosing their leader prior to the convention -- even if it means political plague, pestilence and destruction ultimately descend upon their Republican kingdom.
Hell bent on #NeverTrump, the elites have formulated a trifecta of spells to keep both Trump and Cruz from securing the nomination. The first divination channeled through one of their old high priests, the failed Pharaoh-in-Chief Mitt Romney, was to split the vote by backing whoever might win a particular state’s primary delegates. Their endgame: conjure up a contested convention and thereby stop the exodus.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Straightforward mathematical path to elimination for Cruz v Trump
Posted April 7, 2016 at 4:33:06 PM PDT by Jim RobinsonAccording to Politico's delegate counter there are 882 delegates left.[Trump will take 98 in NY state, and *at least* 64 more in California, and it's buh-bye Teddy-boy]
If this is true, here is the delegate math to elimination:Cruz currently has 517 delegates so he needs to win 720 more (81.6%) of the remaining delegates to reach the 1237 magic number. So Cruz can only afford to lose a maximum of 162 delegates or he is mathematically eliminated.Fact Cruz has lost delegates at a much higher rate than Trump throughout this primary.
Trump currently has 743 delegates so he needs to win 494 more (56%) of the remaining delegates to reach the 1237 magic number. So Trump can afford to lose up to 388 delegates without being mathematically eliminated.
It appears to me that Cruz is more than twice as likely as Trump to be mathematically eliminated.
“Does anyone here grasp that?”
I do but it may be Cruz’ thinking that he is just about forced to stay in the race to stop “Nervous Tick” Kasich. Nervous Tick is the real enemy until the convention and maybe afterward, too.
This one’s good, too: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Pdz2oLwA8l4
Without Cruz in there biting off delegates he can’t win with, Trump would get the 1237 easily. He may get it anyway.
Kasich isn’t going to stop Trump.
“Romney has no office to primary,”
He should be booed off he stage if he’s even allowed to speak at the convention.
Then asked to leave the party.
“The GOPe is about to wrestle our hard fought attempt to end their rule.
Does anyone here grasp that?”
Yup. And the GOPe are not going down without a fight, problem is, they’re intent on taking us all down with them.
Yes.
Cruz has a complex. He wants to be liked. He tried to join the big-boy’s club when he first went to Washington, but nobody liked him. So he joined the Tea Party. There, he found “acceptance.” He sold them snake oil, and now he has a following. He is a TV Evangelist. He wants money, power, women, and to be liked. So he sold out.
Yes. I agree. They would actually rather have Hillary.
These people are the ones we want to chance a convention floor fight with?
Oh yes we do...
OH NO I DON’T!
Cruz is delusional.
You’re trying to talk sense to paid bloggers, a few True Believers, and gop operatives. They don’t really care.
This assumes of course that neither candidate is in the employ of the gop.
I might suggest re examining that assumption.
You are right. Unfortunately this blatant propaganda has to be countered or lurkers think there is something to it.
You have no choice but to counter the idiotic rants.
I agree. But since I’m not a paid blogger there has to be some payback for the time spent here. Information, interesting insights, entertainment, etc. The wheat is becomming hard to find amongst the chaff.
I hear ya.
I’m not paid either, but responding with truth to propaganda is sufficient.
Good grief...what a terrible article.
Preisthood rising!
Cruz is toast. Not only now, but for all time. What’s the poor canuk to do? He’s marking his tree while he can, because as the walls close in, he really has nothing more to lose. He has the opportunity to go down in history as the major f-up of modern politics, Ross Perot be damned.
Sadly, I agree.
He could have taken a much higher road.
Well, he did what he wanted. There’ll be no reward now.
I don’t think he could get elected if he gets the nomination.
He will be on a par with Romney IMO, losing too many states right of the bat to be able to compensate.
He’ll get just what he deserves from here on out.
Except “elimination” isn’t “elimination” it is simply taking to game into round two.
Cruz has been working the delegate ground game and Trump has not. If Cruz wins 388 + 1 more delegate then Trump is toast. The Trump campaign is in disarray. If Trump can reach the 1237, good for him... he wins. If he doesn’t, he has no fall back plan. Really poor campaign planning on his part.
If Trump is half as good at the deal as he thinks he is, he would make the deal now. If he lets Cruz win more delegates then it will reach a point where Cruz has no motive to deal because Trump will have burned the bridges and have nothing to offer. The time to make a deal is right now before it is certain which strategy will prevail.
...and even the chaff is getting lost in all the damn thistle.
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