Posted on 04/06/2016 11:16:58 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum
A Monmouth University survey released Wednesday shows Trump taking 52 percent support, followed by Kasich at 25 percent. Ted Cruz has 17 percent.
The April 19 primary in New York will go a long way toward determining whether Trump can reach the 1,237 delegates he needs to win the GOP nomination outright and avoid a contested convention.
At Trumps current level of support, hes on pace to take a strong majority of the states 95 delegates, and it appears that he may run the board.
If this result holds in every single congressional district, Trump will walk away with nearly all of New York States delegates, said Monmouth University pollster Patrick Murray.
A majority of New York Republicans 57 percent said Trumps myriad controversial remarks, from musing about punishing women who get abortions should they be made illegal to encouraging a nuclear arms race in Asia, will have no impact on how they vote in the primary.
Twenty-nine percent said Trumps controversial remarks make them less likely to support him, while 7 percent said theyre more likely to support Trump because of his comments.
Seventy-two percent of Republicans in New York say that sharing their home state with Trump will have no bearing on whether they support him or not. Fourteen percent said theyre proud to hail from the same state as Trump, while 13 percent said theyre embarrassed.
Kasich is the Republican candidate who does best in a head-to-head match-up against Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton, according to pollsters.
If the Ohio governor were the GOP nominee, 80 percent of Republican primary voters said theyd cast a ballot for him over Clinton. Only 70 percent said the same of Trump, and 66 percent of Cruz.
It is interesting that Kasich would be a stronger nominee in Trumps home state, but it is purely academic, said Murray. There is almost no probability that any Republican would be able to win New Yorks electoral votes.
Kasich has no chance to win the nomination outright, but is staying in the race in hopes of an open convention. Hes argued that hell run stronger than Cruz as the anti-Trump alternative in upcoming contests in the northeast.
There is still an opening, however, for Kasich and Cruz to make gains on Trump, the poll found.
Forty percent of New York Republicans said they are unlikely to change their minds from the candidate they currently support, but 34 percent said theyre willing to consider a different candidate. Twelve percent said theyre hardly committed to their candidate at all, and 14 percent are undecided.
The Monmouth survey of 302 likely New York GOP primary voters was conducted between April 3 and April 5 and has 5.6-percentage-point margin of error.
Exactly!
The State has a GOP legislative or at least it did for quite a while.
So what? Did you see how well Trump did in the Florida and Arizona CLOSED primaries? Some of his best margins in the nation.
NY voter registration is stagnant.
That doesn't necessarily mean anything. Someone pointed out that it's harder to register in NY than in other states. Besides, there's no sign of any momentum in NY for sleazy Lyin' Ted. The Cruz lovers are feeling smug today but they forget that Cruz had everything going for him in WI - it's actually a marvel he didn't do better than he did, all considered. Cruz will be the total outsider in NY and his vicious railing against New Yorkers won't be quickly forgotten.
WI won’t be remember after Thursday
Nobody cares about it
LOL! Thank you for making my point.
Trump supporters brag about "winning" - not about Trump's commitment to the Constitution and limited government. Because Donnie-come-lateley's conservative credentials ain't nothing to brag about.
Anyone who polls high in NY, NJ, etc. is who I DON’T want.
How can this be? He has no ground game.
With Christie’s help, NJ should be a landslide for the Donald.
Trumps immigration policies, his trade policies, his economic policies are conservative. Sorry back to the sinking Cruz ship for you.
50%+1, Trump wins.
Exactly, that is why Trump will win upstate New York
My family up in Upstate are all for Trump and many people are.
They are sick of “business as usual” in DC
I like your sense of humor! The fact is that there is absolutely no state that Cruz would less like to have next on the calendar than NY (and I mean out of all 50!) Cruz is disliked by New York Republicans, both for his extremism and for the fact that he's a sanctimonious hypocrite.
And totally unlike WI, talk radio won't be on his side. Meanwhile, Trump has the big GOP backers and support like Giuliani, Christie (in nearby NJ which has some impact on NY), Paladino, etc. Cruz in the Northeast is probably going to be like Obama in the South: landslide defeats waiting to happen. And for the first time, it's likely that Trump will get MAJORITIES of the vote.
Cruz is.
Let's review.
You said Cruz was a hypocrite because he "Loves the cocktail gay party circuit but hates New York."
How would he deal with these parties AND New York in order to not be a hypocrite?
He shouldn’t be going to fag parties and getting blown over them. Specific enough for you?
I don’t think anyone has cast a ballot quite yet in NY and 2 weeks is a long way to go in political time. Just saying. It will be interesting.
Specific enough for you?
It's a too specific window into your mind.
You still haven't addressed the relationship between gay parties and New York that YOU brought up.
A Monmouth University survey released Wednesday shows Trump taking 52 percent support
My post was the fact that in some people eyes Trump would never have enough, if he was at 53& people would say that he couldn't 54% etc etc
Creepy Cruz never specified DeBlasio. He took a shot at all New Yorkers. I hope he pays for that little bit of stupidity. And it did him no good in SC.
Kasich should call for Cruz to drop out now saying hes just a spoiler now.
That’s funny. You do realize that Ksick still has less delegates than Rubio still has. Makes ya wonder where Kasick money is coming in from to allow him to last so long.
Does anybody know his recent donation numbers?
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