As I understand it, it will go into a contested convention, not a brokered one.
At that point delegates will be released to vote for someone other than who they were bound to.
I think Ted Cruz will win in that scenario.
McCain wins on the fifth ballot. You heard it here first
I guess the real answer lies in what the convention rules will say. The rules group of 100
meets one week before the convention to develope the rules for the 2016 convention. One of the
first actions of the convention will be to adopt, revise, etc the 2016 rules. Rule 40 was
adopted in the 2012 convention and states the 8 state win rule. Question is will the convention
keep that rule or throw it out. If thrown out then a brokered convention could happen. If kept
in place then the only candidates must meet the number of state wins which is currently 8 under
the 2012 rules.
So who know at this time what the delegates want and what the GOP power brokers want.