Posted on 03/31/2016 11:58:17 AM PDT by John W
Donald Trump loves to brag that he's ahead of Hillary Clinton in the polls. "I beat Hillary Clinton in many polls," he repeatedly insisted at a debate earlier this month.
Here on planet Earth, that isn't true or even close to true. In 33 general election polls tracked by HuffPost Pollster over the past two months, Trump has led Clinton in just one.
Trump now trails Clinton by 9 points in the HuffPost Pollster polling average and by 11.2 points in RealClearPolitics' average — and he's behind Bernie Sanders by even more in both. Any of these showings from Trump would be the weakest performance from a major party nominee in the past 20 years.
The trendlines for the billionaire are terrible too. Back during the waning months of 2015, he regularly came within a few points of both Clinton and Sanders. But historically, polls conducted so far in advance have been essentially meaningless.
Crucially, Trump's decline has happened just when these polls actually start to mean something. In newer polls, Trump almost never comes close to either Clinton or Sanders anymore. And in past races, changes in general election polling that have occurred during this period of the campaign have often ended up sticking.
"Were this a few months ago, I'd say, 'What's the big deal?'" says Christopher Wlezien, a political science professor at the University of Texas. "But polls today are much more meaningful than they were 90 days ago. And the polls today are much less favorable for Trump."
(Excerpt) Read more at vox.com ...
Thank you. Second “idiot” of the thread.
And you are about the third ass hole I have encountered on this site today.
Well, I meant you were the second person to call me an idiot on the thread.
“All polls are invalid “
I remember posts like that in Oct. 2004 ...
I did not call you an idiot. I did not even notice your name. I was referring in general to the many, many times these polls of that type are quoted daily by different people with the same agenda. As I stated, Reagan was trailing Carter in the same time frame and on up to just before the election and then the bottom dropped out for Carter. Back then I listened to the polls and was not worried because of my faith in the American people. That faith was damaged by the election of Obama.
Somebody should run over to the DNC and bang on their door until somebody puts out their joint and answers telling them this news. The Democrats must be really dumb. They think Trump crushes either the felon or the Commie. Wow who knew it could get THIS bad for Trump BEFORE he even had a chance to campaign against either one?
Why of course Americans who don’t believe a word Hillary Clinton says will gladly give her Obama’s third term. Of course America will gladly run into socialism behind an old Woodstock hippy with no plan to pay for anything except by steal our money. Trump would NEVER say these things, of course not.
Sure, just like the last two liberal lites crushed the Marxist Obama.
Trump is not Reagan and todays America is not Reagan’s America.
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