Oh, dear. It's all the Cuban Missile Man's fault.
Posted on 03/31/2016 11:58:17 AM PDT by John W
Donald Trump loves to brag that he's ahead of Hillary Clinton in the polls. "I beat Hillary Clinton in many polls," he repeatedly insisted at a debate earlier this month.
Here on planet Earth, that isn't true or even close to true. In 33 general election polls tracked by HuffPost Pollster over the past two months, Trump has led Clinton in just one.
Trump now trails Clinton by 9 points in the HuffPost Pollster polling average and by 11.2 points in RealClearPolitics' average — and he's behind Bernie Sanders by even more in both. Any of these showings from Trump would be the weakest performance from a major party nominee in the past 20 years.
The trendlines for the billionaire are terrible too. Back during the waning months of 2015, he regularly came within a few points of both Clinton and Sanders. But historically, polls conducted so far in advance have been essentially meaningless.
Crucially, Trump's decline has happened just when these polls actually start to mean something. In newer polls, Trump almost never comes close to either Clinton or Sanders anymore. And in past races, changes in general election polling that have occurred during this period of the campaign have often ended up sticking.
"Were this a few months ago, I'd say, 'What's the big deal?'" says Christopher Wlezien, a political science professor at the University of Texas. "But polls today are much more meaningful than they were 90 days ago. And the polls today are much less favorable for Trump."
(Excerpt) Read more at vox.com ...
Not this crap again!
Carter actually was leading RR just a few months before the general, and we all know how that turned out.
Let me guess the poll is highly weighted towards democrats
“My name is Prokop and I’m a committed liberal liar! I love getting stuff from HuffPo!”
And anyone who would post this junk as if it were the gospel truth has got to be either a troll or an idiot.
The death spiral has begun and will be playing itself out over the next 3 months.
I thought the American Authoritarianism article was actually the best thing written this whole cycle.
Your best bet then would be Kasich.
How does Cruz get to 1237? Crickets.. No way he gets on a second ballot either
“The dogs bark, but the caravan moves on.”
Trump unveils congressional leadership committee
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3416060/posts
R O T F L M A O
Yep, 46 to 54% polls numbers are a real collapse.
This “Trump is falling” narrative is beautiful.
I laugh so seldom these days.
Keep it up.
No he hasn’t.
Nobody leaving Mr T.
I don't accept "VOX" when it is critical of Ted Cruz, and I won't accept "VOX" when it is critical of Donald Trump. "VOX" is a kookburger site that causes brain damage from reading it.
What, again?? Every single month the eGOP proclaims this.
Aw shaddup
Also, the article is clearly wrong about RCP per your link. Thanks for posting it! /NO SARC
Oh, dear. It's all the Cuban Missile Man's fault.
How can this be? Are the polls saying more people would stay home and not vote for Donald or more people would switch over and vote for HRC or the Bern? What are the sampling sizes of Dems, Reps, and Indies?
Nope. It’s a HuffPo ordered poll.
And no, not all Trump supporters believe his polls.
And yes, all polls are crap because their scientific design is invalidated in their execution of their sampling.
538 has Cruz at about 80+% to win WI.
Oops!
-PJ
Its funny that they dont have headlines how Kasich beats all the Dems.
Do not believe I mentioned Cruz. I am pointing out that regardless of who gets the Republican nod the ammo for the gun has been delivered.
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