Ok, I’m in and out of here on an infrequent basis so maybe i missed something.
Re the GOPe using Cruz to block Trump, and Cruz thinking he’ll be chosen on a second ballot:
Forgetting the sex scandal for a moment.. Backtrack to before this scandal broke open, for the sake of asking my question...
How do we know that Cruz hasn’t been part of a well-planned GOPe plan (with a willing & compliant Cruz) to use Cruz as one of the many “splitters?” His assigned task would have originally been to gather the bothersome tea party vote while Bush or another GOPe candidate collected all the other delegates.
The following scenario would be based on these assumptions:
+ Cruz has an issue with impulse control & therefore is controllable.
+ Cruz had that private meeting in Oct ‘13 with GOPe’s McConnell, Boehner, et al to make a deal. He was becoming a nuisance to the GOPe, and for Cruz, he now saw how impossible it was to swim upstream against such a strong current.
+ Fact: Cruz became an officer in the Senate Conservatives group that sent $$ to MS so Thad Cochran could run “UraRacist” ads against tea party Chris McDaniel. Cruz also stayed out of that race, refusing to endorse McDaniel, his supposed tea party fellow ideologue.
+ Cruz used every available opportunity to strengthen his bonafides as “the true Constitutional conservative.” (e.g., govt. shutdown, shouting “liar” to GOPe on the Senate floor, etc.)
Back to the proposed plan:
As an incentive to Cruz to run against Jeb and hopefully lose, he and his GOPe controllers would have agreed among themselves: 1) he would be a contender for a VP spot with Jeb, and 2) if Cruz were to “take off” and reach the 1237 delegates, then he would be allowed to be the nominee. The GOPe would be secure in the knowledge that Cruz was “one of us.” And besides, they knew he had a sex problem, just in case he ever tried to leave the farm.
July, 2015: Trump entered the race and “stole” all of Cruz’s southern states, upsetting their original plan and causing multiple changes in strategy.
Cruz stayed low for the first few months and stayed friendly with Trump. He waited his turn while the other RINOs (some of whom have now endorsed Cruz) tried various methods of knocking out Trump: Rick Perry, Lindsey Graham, Rand Paul, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio, and the guy from LA whose name i never remember).
The Plan has changed multiple times, no doubt, but as of last week before the sex story appeared:
- On the 1st weekend in March at a Sea Island, GA resort, the GOPe used a conference as an opportunity to hold a major anti-Trump “Oh-Sh*t!-Pow-Wow” meeting. Allegedly, Jeb Bush was then assigned the task of meeting with Kasich, Rubio, and Cruz to give out marching orders.
- Rubio was knocked out by losing Florida. His team tried to get the Cruz sex scandal released the day before, to no avail. The GOPe had decided to go with Cruz.
- Kasich was kept in as a splitter after winning Ohio.
- The media was still cooperating by sitting on the sex story (likely a mutual agreement to hold it for after the convention).
- Cruz was being endorsed by GOPe; he invited the Bush clan to come aboard; and he and the GOPe were gaining a little momentum in blocking Trump from the magic 1237.
- Cruz was no longer just a splitter/potential nominee — he was now the only one who could beat Trump (along with Katich’s help). Jeb was out, Rubio was out, so Cruz was the GOPe’s best bet going forward.
And then? Bam. Everything changed last Friday with the sex scandal. What had changed? Well, Cruz lost AZ badly, and despite winning UT, the best the GOPe could hope for would be a block, not an outright win. Reality set in. So what happened? I can think of at least 2 scenarios:
= Scenario 1: The GOPe was NOT behind the sex story’s release. They are now frantically trying to figure out a Plan #4,249 because all of their previous plans have failed miserably.
= Option 2: The GOPe decided after Cruz lost AZ so miserably that he was now a liability and was about to crash anyway; the sex story was heating up. They knew someone like the NE would eventually publish it so they decided to do a “Two-fer:” Take out Trump AND Cruz at one time. The GOPe used the imminent release of the NE’s story to run the Melania ad in Utah, knowing this would incite an impulsive (and hopefully inappropriate) reaction from Trump. This would start a Twitter war and could easily be fueled by the GOPe’s media surrogates, which would turn Cruzbots & Trumpbots against each other in droves. And THAT would make it much easier to send Ryan & Co. waltzing into the July convention without much opposition. Cruz would be gone, and Trump would be blamed for his demise. (I personally have many Cruzbot friends who are now livid at Trump & refuse to support him, convinced he’s behind all the sex scandal stories).
Thoughts, anyone? It’s just a theory.
ping for feedback if anyone is interested
Well, snap. I forgot to weave Anonymous & their warning video into a scenario #3. They factor in there somewhere.
Is your real name Agatha Christie?
That was good. Very good.
I believe #2 is what is playing out hoping they can take out both candidates. Unfortunately, it's being effective if Cruz supporters are blaming Trump. That was the intended part of the strategy.
It makes me sad for this country that so many people fall for the GOPe and enemedia's manipulating tactics. It's especially crazy here since Freepers/conservatives understand the GOPe and the enemedia are the enemies of our freedoms and liberties but yet go back to them time and time again.
I've completely tuned out the enemedia and even the local media when it comes to politics this go round. I just let the news be vetted by Freepers and we usually get it right. Tuning out the enemedia has been quite refreshing and I'm not subject to their lies and manipulations. The enemedia would cease to exist if more people didn't empower them.
CGato
Pretty close. Although I think that as time goes on scenario 1 is closer to reality. Too much info that it was the Rubio camp who got this going. I think Teddy might be done before WI.
NE has already baited Teddy to deny, and he did. If my speculation is correct, they’ll bleed out more of what what they have wednesday or thursday. If so, he’ll do his “Elliot Spitzer” soon.
This. And Cruz was never part of a Jeb splitter strategy. The GOPe attempts to woo Cruz are standard procedure for the establishment. Don't make too much of it.
At worst Cruz is an unwitting GOPe pawn who thinks he can stay in and win at a contested convention.