I beg to differ:
The Public Policy Institute of California poll showed support for Trump at 38 percent among likely Republican voters, followed by Ted Cruz at 19 percent and John Kasich at 12 percent. Marco Rubio, the Florida senator who ended his presidential bid last week, received 12 percent in the poll taken March 6 to March 15.
I had not seen that one; however which is marginally better for Trump than some previous polls I had seen. Still, he remains in the 30 plus percent range, and Cruz is likely to get the Kasich votes when he finally throws in, as too the largest percent of the Rubio votes.
Distributing the Rubio votes: Trump 38, Cruz 29, Kasich 14. There are still another 19 percent undecided, liekly to go mostly for Cruz and Kasich.
Distributing these:
Trump 40%
Cruz 39%
Kasich 21%
This is a race to watch.
If Kasich drops out before California, his votes will split 2 to 1 for Cruz.
Trump 47%
Cruz 53%
That’s how I see it and of course, it could be either better or worse for either candidate depending on how the big mo develops after Cruz wins Wisconsin fairly decisively on April 5, and goes on to surprise in the Northeast.