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Donald Trump Will (Almost Certainly) Never Be Elected President. Here’s Why.
Washington Post ^ | March 21, 2016 | Greg Sargent

Posted on 03/21/2016 10:19:26 PM PDT by Steelfish

click here to read article


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To: MaxistheBest

Not really. You will see how Trump’s lead narrows when the field started to winnow.


61 posted on 03/21/2016 11:03:13 PM PDT by Steelfish
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To: onyx

Address the substance of the article since both sides can play the pictures game.


62 posted on 03/21/2016 11:04:14 PM PDT by Steelfish
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To: onyx

Thinking of two faces, listen to this:

http://www.mediaite.com/online/anti-trump-super-pac-releases-brutal-new-ad-on-his-history-of-liberal-positions/


63 posted on 03/21/2016 11:05:04 PM PDT by Steelfish
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To: Steelfish

64 posted on 03/21/2016 11:05:06 PM PDT by kabar
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To: Steelfish
Greg Sargent?

"journalists" got the brains God give gophers when it comes to math and/or statistics.

Shut up, Greg.

65 posted on 03/21/2016 11:05:59 PM PDT by kiryandil (Chicago, March 2016: The Delphi Technique in action...)
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To: Steelfish

“Demographics have changed from 25 years ago.”

True, but Trump pulls better, and from a broader spread of demographics, than anyone else in the race. On either side.

I know you’re skeptical, but before this thing is over, I think he’s going to make you a believer.


66 posted on 03/21/2016 11:07:04 PM PDT by Windflier (Pitchforks and torches ripen on the vine. Left too long, they become black rifles.)
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To: GrandJediMasterYoda
The Trend is Your Friend Two more weeks. .
67 posted on 03/21/2016 11:07:10 PM PDT by Art in Idaho (Conservatism is the only Hope for Western Civilization.)
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To: Steelfish

68 posted on 03/21/2016 11:09:21 PM PDT by Bobalu (I'm spitting on my hands, and hoisting the black flag!)
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To: Steelfish

Trump delivered a terrific speech at AIPAC; Cruz was petty and bombed big time. The contrast was so stark that you should be embarrassed for Ted this evening. A teleprompter would not have helped him. Ted has a very difficult time connecting with any audience not made up of his core constituents.


69 posted on 03/21/2016 11:09:44 PM PDT by fireman15 (The USA will be toast if the Democrats are able to take the Presidency in 2016)
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To: Steelfish

There’s no reason to believe that non-whites and college educated will vote the same way for Obama as for Hellery.


70 posted on 03/21/2016 11:14:37 PM PDT by VanShuyten ("a shadow...draped nobly in the folds of a gorgeous eloquence.")
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To: Steelfish
Not really. You will see how Trump’s lead narrows when the field started to winnow.

I hate to tell you Steelfish, but the field has narrowed as much as it is going to. Kasich says he is not going anywhere. Maybe Ted should lean on his GOPe buddies, Romney, Graham and Co. to get Kasich out of the picture so we can test your theory.

71 posted on 03/21/2016 11:15:11 PM PDT by fireman15 (The USA will be toast if the Democrats are able to take the Presidency in 2016)
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To: Steelfish

Steelfish you are dreaming do you see thousands upon thousands of people flocking to see Teddy Bear???? Do you REALLY see peop,e fleeing to the voting places to vote Cruz???? Do you REALLY believe 50,000 registered DEMS switched to pubbie in PA. so far to vote for Teddy Bear!!! Steelfish you need to open your eyes Teddy Bear could NOT EVEN win evangelicals they don’t trusTED!!!! Teddy Bear has only won Caucus states besides his home state and OK. the reason he is ONLY winning caucus states is because people can be manipulated by their peers and Cruz plants in the caucuses!!!


72 posted on 03/21/2016 11:17:51 PM PDT by Kit cat (OBummer must go)
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To: Steelfish

“Not really. You will see how Trump’s lead narrows when the field started to winnow.”

Sorry, I don’t see it !! Explain to me why all the rolling national polls continue to show Trump maintaining the same margin over Cruz even after other candidates have dropped out?

By the way, the article’s focus is on white voters. Trump has already shown he can attract minority voters; Romney completely bombed out in this segment.


73 posted on 03/21/2016 11:18:29 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: Steelfish; Misterioso; Robert DeLong
Just look at the numbers!

And Normandy Beach was SURE to beat the snot out of the Allied battleships that were shelling it in June 1944.

Nice try, Steelfish.

74 posted on 03/21/2016 11:23:14 PM PDT by kiryandil (Chicago, March 2016: The Delphi Technique in action...)
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To: Steelfish

If you look at these numbers, they are increases of less than 10 percent.

If you look at the increases in voter turnout they are on the average 60 percent and in some cases 300 and 400 percent.

Gonna. Happen.


75 posted on 03/21/2016 11:24:39 PM PDT by TomasUSMC (FIGHT LIKE WW2, WIN LIKE WW2. FIGHT LIKE NAM, FINISH LIKE NAM.)
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To: Steelfish

Ted Cruz needs to win Arizona and Wisconsin. He needs to WIN instead of blaming other candidates for staying in; the same candidates that both he and Trump have to go against.


76 posted on 03/21/2016 11:28:45 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
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To: DoughtyOne

Erik Erickson talk


77 posted on 03/21/2016 11:31:45 PM PDT by wardaddy (Cruz path to nomination is a box canyon)
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To: Steelfish

“Demographer Ruy Teixeira conducted this analysis at my request. Teixeira was the lead analyst on a comprehensive report on the projected makeup of the 2016 electorate that was released by the Center for American Progress late last year. He built on that report in this new analysis.”

WOW! Cruzadians now recognize that the Center for American Progress is the source of all valid analysis of the election! Phantastic! Phenomenal! Now we know that the Tediban are all consistent conservatives, just like their dear leader! ;-)


78 posted on 03/21/2016 11:31:52 PM PDT by SubMareener (Save us from Quarterly Freepathons! Become a MONTHLY DONOR!)
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To: Steelfish

This article assumes Hillary gets the same support as Obama...

Simply won’t happen. She is alienating young voters, and while she will get a strong majority in AA crowds, she won’t have nearly as many of them motivated to get to the polls.


79 posted on 03/21/2016 11:31:57 PM PDT by BlueNgold (May I suggest a very nice 1788 Article V with your supper...)
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To: Steelfish
In each of these, Teixeira assumes that the Democratic candidate (likely Hillary Clinton) will win the same share of the nonwhite and college educated white vote that Obama did, which, if anything, is generous to Trump absurdly ludicrous based on the massive increases in Republican voters with Trump in the races.

This is blatant propaganda hogwash. Romney could never dream of getting 25% of the black vote. He got 7% max. Cruz would get about the same.

Whatever blue-collar and minority votes Romney got, or Cruz could get, Trump will easily double those numbers. The April and May primaries will certainly paint a clearer picture of this.

04/05 WI, 96
04/19 NY, 95
04/26 CT, 28
04/26 DE, 16
04/26 MD, 38
04/26 PA, 71
04/26 RI, 19
05/03 IN, 57
05/10 NE, 36
05/10 WV, 37
05/17 OR, 28
05/24 WA, 44
06/07 CA, 172
06/07 MT, 27
06/07 NJ, 51
06/07 NM, 24
06/07 SD, 29

80 posted on 03/21/2016 11:35:55 PM PDT by meadsjn
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