I hope you are correct in that Trump can put this thing away just by winning FL Tuesday night (which I'm pretty sure he easily will). But I think OH is very important. Yes, it is Kasich's home state but Kasich is not a serious contender for the WH at this point. There is only one reason Kasich is still in this race and it's to use his home state to deny valuable delegates to Trump.
I hope the people of Ohio can see through this tactic and do the right thing Tuesday night. Even if they like Kasich as governor (and he probably has been a good governor for OH), they should resist the temptation to hand him this meaningless vanity prize and vote for whom they believe actually has a shot at being our next president - which is Trump or Cruz.
I hope you are correct in that Trump can put this thing away just by winning FL Tuesday night (which I'm pretty sure he easily will). But I think OH is very important. Yes, it is Kasich's home state but Kasich is not a serious contender for the WH at this point. There is only one reason Kasich is still in this race and it's to use his home state to deny valuable delegates to Trump.
I agree that Kasich is in the race to take the 66 delegates for the GOPe. He is the only one that Trump could not beat easily in Ohio. In fact, Kasich has said that he wants a brokered convention.
I don't think we should create the false expectation of a Trump win in OH. It will be very, very difficult to defeat a sitting governor with an 80% approval rating. It would be a bonus, but I anticipate a loss in Ohio. It won't be the end of the world as long as Trump takes FL and does well elsewhere where the delegates are distributed proportionately. Trump could pick up 200 delegates on Tuesday with a win in FL and doing well elsewhere other than Ohio. He would then have close to 700 votes, more than halfway there with more votes coming up in AZ and the Northeast where he will be favored to do well.
Cruz has a slim mathematical chance to win enough delegates, but the reality is that he won't be able to overtake Trump for the most delegates and the most votes. Cruz really wants a brokered convention as well to steal it from Trump.