Full disclosure - For me, Trump is #1, and Cruz is #1A.
Cruz is at an all-time high here. Trump is treading water.
However, as I said in the OP, this is before Trump’s solid night last night. Also, as this is a 5 day moving average poll, the Carson impact is not yet phased out. And with Cruz climbing here, his most recent numbers may be in the high twenties.
This ain’t over by any means. If Trump doesn’t reach 1237, it could get very interesting.
FWIW, fivethirtyeight.com has Donald increasing his current target ratio from 104% to 106% as a result of last night.
“FWIW, fivethirtyeight.com has Donald increasing his current target ratio from 104% to 106% as a result of last night.”
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/
“FWIW, fivethirtyeight.com”
Yeah I have them bookmarked as well as reuters. 538 total count is off it takes them awhile to update, but I assume the percentages will remain unchanged. Trump maintaining his over 100% and Cruz lagging at 70%.
Bottom line, we are entering areas where Cruz just isn’t going to make up the deficit, and all objective Cruz supporters acknowledge it. So the question is. If he isn’t going to get the delegates required, and he will not benefit from convention high-jinks, what is it he wants?
Everyone portrays Cruz as the anti-Trump but that’s not true. I think if Cruz were out of the race that a majority of his voters would go to Trump.
But Cruz will use the anti-Trump label to justify going to a brokered convention.