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To: svcw

Trump confirms the axiom that it is much easier to dupe somebody than to convince them they have been duped.
Who knew there was as efficacious a liar as Trump and that anger would make so many people stupid as well?
Hope folks calm down and think straight before Trump gives us President Hillary.


20 posted on 03/08/2016 11:16:05 PM PST by Happy Rain (CRUZ 2016 "Closest thing we have to Reagan." Rush Limbaugh)
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To: Happy Rain

Sorry, Kasich and Rubio have no chance to beat Hillary


43 posted on 03/08/2016 11:33:36 PM PST by Bubba Gump Shrimp (if God wanted Cruz to be president, he'd have made him born in America)
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To: Happy Rain
Hope folks calm down and think straight before Trump gives us President Hillary.

This is a forecast that will give you pause because of the number of times it's been CORRECT since 1912.

The ONLY time this forecast, has been incorrect when applied, was ONCE, which was in 1960.

This is a PROFOUND PREDICTION

Political science professor forecasts Trump as general election winner
The Statesman  | February 23, 2016 | Christopher Cameron

A professor of political science at Stony Brook University has forecasted that Donald Trump has a minimum 97 percent chance of winning the general election as the Republican nominee.

Professor Helmut Norpoth's forecast presentation took place Monday evening in the SUNY Global Center in Manhattan, which was organized by the Stony Brook Alumni Association.

Norpoth created a statistical model of presidential elections that uses a candidate's performance in their party's primary and patterns in the electoral cycle as predictors of the presidential vote in the general election.

Donald Trump has a 97 percent chance of defeating Hillary Clinton and a 99 percent chance of defeating Bernie Sanders in the general election, according to Norpoth's formula.

"The bottom line is that the primary model, using also the cyclical movement, makes it almost certain that Donald Trump will be the next president," Norpoth said, "if he's a nominee of the [Republican] party."

Norpoth's primary model works for every presidential election since 1912, with the notable exception of the 1960 election. These results give the model an accuracy of 96.1 percent.

Complete story source:

https://www.sbstatesman.com/2016/02/23/political-science-professor-forecasts-trump-as-general-election-winner/

70 posted on 03/09/2016 12:29:28 AM PST by VideoDoctor
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