Posted on 03/07/2016 9:48:01 PM PST by dangus
So many Trump supporters are so juiced up for Trump, because they believe reports that Trump will bring huge numbers of minorities to the GOP. Sorry, folks, but that isn't happening, even in the primaries, where voting for Trump doesn't mean voting contrary to Democratic loyalties (which are immense). Let's look at states with large black populations, shall we?
In Georgia, 7% of Republican voters were black. That's pretty good. Unfortunately, we don't have data on how they voted. But since so very, very few Hispanics voted Republican, we can use the non-White vote as a proxy. And Trump only got 29% of the non-white Georgia Republicans. Only Kasich had a lower portion of his voters be non-white.
In South Carolina, only 1% of Republican voters were black... no-one attracted any black votes, despite the state having a black Republican senator (Tim Scott). Tennessee also saw only 2% of Republican voters be black. Again, too small to measure.
Alabama had 7% non-white, too small for exit-poll data... and also too small to affect anyone's poll data even 1%.
In Virginia, Trump also got a smaller proportion of his vote from non-White voters than his opponents did. In fact, he lost the non-White vote to Rubio. And yes, blacks dominated the non-White voters.
By the way, Cruz also won the youth vote in South Carolina, Arkansas, and we can infer Kentucky and Louisiana. Trump finished third among young people in Texas, Oklahoma, and Iowa, and placed behind Rubio in Virginia There's no demographic breakdown in Minnesota, Alaska or Maine, but Trump also lost those states. So among young voters, that's 10 states for Cruz, 3 for Rubio and 4 for Trump (Alabama, Tennessee, Massachusetts and New Hampshire.) And 1 state unknown (Nevada).
The youth vote is known for showing up in far proportions in general elections than in primaries.
First Read: Why Trump’s delegate lead could be narrower than you think
http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/first-read-why-trumps-delegate-lead-could-be-narrower-you-think
The folks are all waiting to vote for cruz over Hillary
Because their main concern is not poverty hopelessness and death in their communities, but who gets to chose the next 3-4 USSC justices and principled conservatism
Sarc
My vote and most of my family’s vote will be going to Trump.
The gope wants Trump.. He is everything a democrat could hope for in a republican. He doesn’t check off a single constitutional box, doesn’t even understand the words Sovereign Nation.. Scared of a girl reporter too.. I’m a vet, anyone who would hide behind me will not earn my commander in chief vote. What’s he gonna do? punch me in the mouth, classy coward there. Let’s talk Constitutional records and dispense with the rhetoric.
Now why would Trump bring the black lives matter virus into his campaign. It has already infected all political parties and has been shown to be deadly to individual freedoms and responsibility. Same can be said by the La Raza virus.
America is sick and will become comatose if these viruses continue on into the next generation of liberal, lying, pandering Republican shills.
>>In Georgia, 7% of Republican voters were black. And Trump only got 29% of the non-white Georgia Republicans.
Alabama had 7% non-white, too small for exit-poll data... and also too small to affect anyone’s poll data even 1%.<<
Both had 7% black - GA can be analyzed and inferred; but AL can’t? C’mon, isn’t this grabbing at straws, whether Trump or any other candidate?
What’s the point?
Black people have their own party. It’s called the Democrats. The Democrats represent black people’s interests, and they do a good job of it.
Stop wasting time on nonsense like “Democrats are the real racists”. Black people want what the Democrats are selling, and the entire theory of voting is that people can judge their own interests.
If Trump got all the GOP black vote in GA that is awesome. He doesn’t’t need 50% or even 20%. A mere 10% in a general would be better than any Republican has done in 20 years.
Go Hillary!
For the life of me I cannot figure out why blacks fall in with the party of anti-civil rights, Jim Crow, and KKK. It’s like they really do want to live on the plantation and remain in slavery.
OK so Trump is not going to get much of the black or Hispanic vote. No surprise there, but neither will the other candidates. So the secret is to get out his base, try for independents and disaffected Democrats crossing over, and hope that the rest of the disaffected Democrats and establishment Republicans stay home rather than vote for Hillary.
Reverend Manning Rocks!
re: we don’t have data on how they voted
What a poorly researched article by an idiot. We know that there are many precincts (eg in Georgia) that have less than 20 white adults registered to vote. I live next to one while Im one of about 50 whites registered in my mostly Black precint.
We can compare election results in 2012 and 2014 and 2016. In a typical precinct Romney maybe had 80 votes and Perdue 60 in the primary to Kingston’s 10 and 75 in Nov 2014. So how did Trump, Rubio, Cruz, etal do in 2016 in that same precinct compared to previous primaries and finals?
So far, I have only looked at the 2014 numbers ... and that was more focused on why so few Blacks voted for Nunn (Obamacare) than anything else. I have not done complete research ... yet. But it is very doable.
The author is an idiot to say because he is lazy and incompetent that it cant be done.
I keep in mind that Donald’s pull on black dems is his image of strength, getting things done and ability to create jobs. It is NOT because blacks are being told that all other GOP candidates are racist and must be stopped.
If 7% of Republican voters are black and Georgia is 25% black and the GOP is 40% of the electorate, it translates into the following: if the electorate is 1 million (a hypothetical number) the GOP portion would be 400,000. The 7% of GOP would be 28,000 blacks. Since blacks are hypothetically 25% of the electorate that would be 250,000 in the black electorate. Then the 28,000 who voted GOP would in fact be 11.2% if the black electorate in Georgia.
>> Both had 7% black - GA can be analyzed and inferred; but AL can’t? C’mon, isn’t this grabbing at straws, whether Trump or any other candidate? <<
I’m using data available from exit polls.
Who the hell said anything about Black LIves Matter. I posted this only in response to constant BS I see in FR about Trump winning the black vote.
>> You say he’s a damned lefty, then you say he’s repellant to blacks, hispanics, union goons, lesbian pipefitters, etc. <<
Are you really too stupid to imagine that someone can be a liberal and yet blacks, hispanics, etc., can remain loyal to the Democrat party?
You do at least have the proper credentials to be spouting nonsense.
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