Posted on 03/07/2016 9:48:01 PM PST by dangus
So many Trump supporters are so juiced up for Trump, because they believe reports that Trump will bring huge numbers of minorities to the GOP. Sorry, folks, but that isn't happening, even in the primaries, where voting for Trump doesn't mean voting contrary to Democratic loyalties (which are immense). Let's look at states with large black populations, shall we?
In Georgia, 7% of Republican voters were black. That's pretty good. Unfortunately, we don't have data on how they voted. But since so very, very few Hispanics voted Republican, we can use the non-White vote as a proxy. And Trump only got 29% of the non-white Georgia Republicans. Only Kasich had a lower portion of his voters be non-white.
In South Carolina, only 1% of Republican voters were black... no-one attracted any black votes, despite the state having a black Republican senator (Tim Scott). Tennessee also saw only 2% of Republican voters be black. Again, too small to measure.
Alabama had 7% non-white, too small for exit-poll data... and also too small to affect anyone's poll data even 1%.
In Virginia, Trump also got a smaller proportion of his vote from non-White voters than his opponents did. In fact, he lost the non-White vote to Rubio. And yes, blacks dominated the non-White voters.
By the way, Cruz also won the youth vote in South Carolina, Arkansas, and we can infer Kentucky and Louisiana. Trump finished third among young people in Texas, Oklahoma, and Iowa, and placed behind Rubio in Virginia There's no demographic breakdown in Minnesota, Alaska or Maine, but Trump also lost those states. So among young voters, that's 10 states for Cruz, 3 for Rubio and 4 for Trump (Alabama, Tennessee, Massachusetts and New Hampshire.) And 1 state unknown (Nevada).
The youth vote is known for showing up in far proportions in general elections than in primaries.
“By the way, Cruz also won the youth vote in South Carolina, Arkansas, and we can infer Kentucky and Louisiana.”
I attended the watch party on super Tuesday where Cruz gave his Texas / Oklahoma victory speech. I was quite surprised by the large number of hipsters there.
Aren’t most black voters signed up as Democrats? What’s the participation rate for primary/caucus elections vs. the general elections?
Yeah, like Romney will?
You guys can’t have it both ways.
You say he’s a damned lefty, then you say he’s repellant to blacks, hispanics, union goons, lesbian pipefitters, etc.
You’re just pulling all this stuff outta your vanity hat, aren’t you. Admit it. You’ll feel better about yourself.
People will believe whatever they want to believe these days.
Samples too small to tell much, and you have to assume a disproportionate number of black Repubs are still voting Carson. All that really matters is whether Trump can cut into that 90+% in the general election. Even 20% would be great.
The rats are three parties. The Black party which includes white criminals who want less law enforcement, and the white guilt members. The union party which includes those who are told who to vote for and do. And, the green party which include all manner of enviro-nuts and dysfunctional sub groups like homos and trannies and other perverts.
They are a coalition of the opportunistic. Not well bonded together.
Racist Trump tag is easier to present than the truth.
November will make all clear. All myths, questions, theories will be put to rest
It’s bad enough to see this “poisoning the well” BS tactic from Democrats, Mexican presidents and the Pope ...
But from the GOP that demanded Trump sign an oath that he would support the Republican front runner, and even lousy insinuations from his opponents here on FR?
Unacceptable.
Sums it up, doesn't it?
Neither Trump nor Cruz needs to bring in black voters to win in the general.
>> So many Trump supporters are so juiced up for Trump
Hey home, I can dig it... pray to Donald J...
My thoughts exactly.
Skin color matters in elections....how? Honestly, who cares? This article sounds like it was written by some pencil-pusher in the GOPe after going over figures with a fine-toothed comb. You can lead a horse to water but you can’t make him drink.
For your interest. LS
The problem is in every poll that puts trump against Hillery, the dems win. In fact trump losses in all the polls to whom ever the dem candidate is.
Polls lie. The truth is found in who fears Trump, and that's the entire GOPE. They have access to the real polling data, and they're terrified. Trust that.
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