Posted on 03/07/2016 1:11:56 PM PST by Innovative
A pattern is starting to emerge that holds both promise and peril for Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump:
Trump does better in “open” primary contests where members of either party can vote, while Texas Sen. Ted Cruz tends to do better in "closed" contests limited only to registered Republicans.
(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...
I think GOP primaries should be for Republicans only. Democrats should not be voting in GOP primaries.
That seems so obvious to me, I don’t know why I should have to say it.
Well, from that tidbit, you can extrapolate that Trump would get many crossovers in a general election. That’s what it takes to win.
We would all be better off if we pasted that phrase to the top of our Video Screens.
We’d be a hell of a lot better off to push the good qualities of our personal favorite candidates and leave the attacks off.
Couldn’t agree more..but the same goes for the candidates themselves. Thursday debate is going to be absolutely critical for DJT especially. This one has to be Presidential.
Next Tuesday is his championship boxing match.
true
-— I’ll go a step further and say that democrats aren’t smart enough to even pull that off.
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You are quite right. Union members and those who depend on the greased wheels of the D party (like myself) can/are and would be punished for grabbing a R ballot in a primary.
It just doesn’t fly when you tell your union steward “I was performing operation Chaos, really, I was”
This is why so many in my shoes have to wait until the general election to actually vote without being punitively damaged. No one knows who you pull the lever for in a general (unless you chose a straight ticket ballot) here in Illinois.
I mean, maybe there could be some cross over voters trying to perform a Chaos, but the D race is so heated right now, they are voting for their candidates.
If one candidate was a shoe-in and votes could be wasted, maybe you’d get some Chaos cross-over, I dunno.
I’m sure. Just as the usual DU moles aren’t here cheering on the Liberal candidate.
It’s tiresome.
I’ve noticed the same thing about the other candidates as well.
Has the government yet funded a study of this phenomenon?
Running a rich guy who can attract independents worked well for us last time.
The advantage of Trump early on was he fought and didn’t let the media shame him and stuck to his guns.
A recent issue is the KKK flap. He got wobbly and didn’t handle it very well. He should have countered attacked about the Democrats never denounce anyone as he has with the KKK. I wonder as it gets closer to the “big game” will he start to chock?
This is what Thomas Sowell was elucidating in an earlier thread. A candidate is more likely to win a state in which he receives more than 50% of the vote than one where he receives less than 50%. Indubitably.
The variable may be that a candidate is less likely to win half the votes if he is sharing the stage with more candidates than are sitting in the audience. I’m thinking of writing a book entitled, “My Struggle (With Math)”.
Re Trump choking -
I figure he might.
He has been breaking down in messaging lately.
Part of Trumps success was he had a very, very small staff and the guy did most of his campaign work himself. He’s an animal at this stuff apparently, and was doing very well at it, but he’s 69 and this has been going on since last summer.
It would break anyone. The guy badly needs a vacation I think.
Well so far the only closed contests Trump has won were NV (kind of a gimme for him), Kentucky, and Louisiana. In the last two, he lost a big lead at the last minute and barely got any more delegates than Cruz in KY. Now that the field is finally thinning, a lot more of the "not Trump" vote is consolidating.
Crazy times indeed.
>”Trump barely beat Rubio (3%) in Virginia, an open state....”<
DC is in Virginia’s backyard. Since he’s the establishment’s favorite, it only makes sense Rubio shows some support in the suburbs of DC..
The VA ‘burbs are nearly indistinguishable from DC, unfortunately.
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