Posted on 03/07/2016 7:23:05 AM PST by Jim W N
Here's how Trump is faring in those states, based on individual polls or RealClearPolitics polling averages:
March 8 Michigan Republican primary (59 delegates): Trump is up 15.4 points
Mississippi Republican primary (40 delegates): Trump is up 24 points
March 15
Florida Republican primary (99 delegates — winner take all): Trump is up 18.7 points and ahead of Florida Sen. Marco Rubio
Illinois Republican primary (69 delegates): Trump is up 15.5 points
North Carolina Republican primary (72 delegates): Trump is up 10.3 points
Ohio Republican primary (66 delegates — winner take all): Trump is up five points and ahead of Ohio Gov. John Kasich
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
Trump more than held serve on all the states already voted which were Cruz wheelhouse.
We could be dealing with voter fraud... we’ll see what happens in Florida...
Voter fraud? More like pollster fraud. Face it, the mainstream media wants Trump to win the primaries, so they have an easy-to-kill target in the generals. That’s why every negative piece “attacks” him only for taking politically incorrect opinions. You think they really are too stupid to know those attacks help him? I could give you a laundry list of devastating attacks they COULD make on him, but won’t until the general. But I won’t because my intent is not to sling mud, but to warn.
Yes, I know. I wrote it. Jim Robinson himself deleted it.
I love good news in the morning.
As for the GOP-e, it needs to be completely destroyed.
Great shot.
We could be dealing with voter fraud... we’ll see what happens in Florida...
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Wait? What? Are you suggesting that it is not just democrats who do voter fraud?
I don’t believe any of them. To me, the polls have seemed pretty terrible this cycle. Maybe it’s just me. Don’t get me wrong, I’d like for these to be true, but I’m not banking on them.
It seems that cellphones really mess up polling. I suspect a bias toward landlines.
That being said, it does not help that FOX and the rest of the MSM view this as a circus. Stoking the controversy does not make for a good panel show.
Panel show? What that means is that what we are watching is not a debate but a panel that is asked leading questions but the clueless and/or venal media.
IL and MO are kind of hybrid WTA.
IL has direct election of delegates for candidates by CD and is WTA statewide.
MO is WTA if a candidate gets over >50% of the vote
Otherwise it’s WTA for 12 of the 52 delegates in the state
The other 40 delegates get distributed 5 each as a WTA of each of MO’s 8 CD.
NC is straight proportional, 1 delegate per 1.39% of the vote.
Did he tell you why?
“Trump better not relax”
And Cruzer had better not run out of money! He’s outspent Trump by huge margins to get where he is. Just shows you all you need to know about how he’d spend yor tax dollars! and spend it on stuff that we don’t want or need.
I suspect foul play.
He pretty much just called it a load of crap. Something more ambiguously G-rated, but equally hostile. It was after about 500 comments, so it certainly was provocative. Meanwhile, he allows the most insane slanders against Cruz.
I actually don’t. I think Trump has made a very strong play for the politically ignorant and unmotivated, ... people who have been too angry to give a crap. Meanwhile Cruz is lawyerly in a way which turns off some, but is craved sustenance to the politically active. So when you do a poll, you get loads of people who simply see Trump in the news every day and know that liberals hate him. (Let’s not forget that 50% of Americans don’t know who Joseph Biden is, let alone Ted Cruz.)
Normally, pollsters can tease out the inactive by demographic inference, but Cruz and Trump appeal to a people who seem the same to demographers.
It’s just you’d think that some of these pollsters would learn from their mistakes!
Many years ago I was talking with a friend who wrote for the local newspaper - and in all seriousness he looked at me and said, “Sometimes I wonder if when we make recommendations that readers don't use that as a guide to know who to vote against”...
That's not an exact quote, but it's close. I started laughing because that's what I did... then I apologized for the laughter and made some lame conciliatory comment.
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