Let me try to give you the perspective of non-Trump supporters like myself.
If Trump’s ceiling is 40% in a splintered field then I highly doubt he could consistently get above 50% in a one on one matchup vs. Cruz. I seriously doubt many people supporting Rubio, Kasich or Carson would support Trump. Yes, he will pull some of those voters in, but not many. Remember from past polling Cruz is the 2nd choice for all other candidates, including Trump. Clearly the splintered field is helping Trump the most and hurting Cruz the most.
If you aren’t a Trump supporter at this point, then you obviously have serious problems with his candidacy. With that said, Rubio has a 0% chance in a one on one with Trump because I’d bet most Cruz supporters would swing over to Trump. I’m not one of those, but I know many would.
So basically the biggest farce of this is Rubio continuing on with his delusional campaign. Say what you will about Cruz, but his path to the nomination is way more viable than Rubio’s.
If the field stays splintered into the winner-take-all states then Trump wins it going away.
In a one on one contest I am guessing someone would get over 50%
Nice try troll boy.
Bingo to the Real Reason the MSM, FOX, GOPe, McConnell, Ryan, Sasse, Beltway et al are having a Fit. The path is there if everyone stays in the race. It's blatantly obvious. As of tonight, they're all staying in, as far as I understood from their takeaway comments.
So, now what GOPe, MSM, et al? Trump should announce Palin as his VP tomorrow and we might literally wipe them out en masse.
Like everyone who promotes this whistling past the graveyard theory you ignore the bandwagon effect.
When a candidate drops out most voters don't go on the web, do a complete investigation of every other candidate's stands on the important issues and then switch to the one who most resembles their fallen hero.
That's what FR posters do. That's what political junkies of all kinds do. But most voters, even GOP primary voters, don't have 5% the interest in politics of your typical FR poster.
The proverbial low information voters are part of every candidate's pool of supporters. When Rubio collapses and Kasich and Carson finally throw in the towel many of their voters will look at CNN headlines and say "Trump is winning, guess I'll go with him. Looks presidential."
That's why from here on Trump will easily exceed his ceiling all the way to the nomination.
“I seriously doubt many people supporting Rubio, Kasich or Carson would support Trump”
—I disagree friend, Mr Trump is pulling in Independents, Democrats, and people who have been indifferent to politics. Among the elites in the Republican Party I am sure there are people who will never support him — but it comes down to voters. They are coming out for him.