About what I'd expect for Donald from all the people who call him a bully and want a GOPe pick, but man that number for Cruz doesn't bode well.
[I don’t know what in the world “preliminary” exit polls are? ]
Hopes and dreams of the MSM.
“many fewer” just doesn’t sound right.
Sigh.....
It’s those still being tabulated and analyzed.
“Eight in 10 GOP voters in South Carolina identify themselves as conservative”
and they voted in graham and that 5th column gov. haley?
i don’t believe it.
Actually 4 in 10 is huge, that means it could be higher, people not wanting to admit it in a politically correct world.
“I don’t know what in the world “preliminary” exit polls are”
They are released after the precursory preliminary initial opening exit polls.
I wonder how many would support deporting ILLEGAL immigrants?
I have never told any exit pollster anything other than “ I voted” and none of their business.
This is about like reading chicken entrails to predict the future.
Fox News, in relating the exit polling just now, completely ignored mentioning the one that greatly supported the Muslim ban, by a large margin. That is good for Trump. I wonder if that can be used for some kind of index.
These results appear to indicate Trump is well ahead, with Cruz and Rubio battling it out for second.
Only 4 in 10 favor deporting. Very disappointing.
>> I don’t know what in the world “preliminary” exit polls are? <<
Two things:
1. They won’t tell us candidate performance, until the polls close.
2. Since the polls aren’t closed, the data may be skewed by selecting early voters only.
The exit polls that Fox just reported bodes well for Cruz IMO unless Fox withheld some important questions that favor Trump.
Charles Krauthammer just stated that the bottom three are in single digits (Bush, Kaisch, Carson).
They already know, of course, who won.
I think it means the data from exit polling that the media can release before the polls close — notice nothing in the excerpt, at least, directly addressed candidate preference, the thing that the media used to get in trouble for using to project winners before the polls closed.
I know I believe anything ABC says....
This is very good news for Cruz, if it can be trusted. Cruz polls far better among “very conservative” than “moderate” or “somewhat conservative.”
NBC/WSJ tilted too heavily towards Cruz compared to most other pollsters, but I’m looking to them to show RELATIVE strength among groups.
Among moderates, Trump led Cruz, 20-11. Among rather conservatives, he led 32-21. But among very conservatives, he lost 22-42.
Again, I recognize that NBC/WSJ was more favorable towards Cruz than other polls, and even they didn’t predict a Cruz win. But if you take NBC/WSJ’s subpopulations and adjust them to the turnout shown by the exit poll, Cruz would actually win.
Mind you, that’s a big “if.”