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Live South Carolina GOP Primary Exit Poll Analysis
http://abcnews.go.com ^ | February 20, 2016 | ABC News

Posted on 02/20/2016 2:47:57 PM PST by NKP_Vet

Preliminary exit poll results from the South Carolina GOP primary have been released.

Record turnout by conservatives and evangelicals is helping to shape the South Carolina Republican primary, along with vast support for Donald Trump’s stance on limiting the ability of Muslims to enter the country and substantial backing for deportation of undocumented immigrants.

Preliminary exit poll results indicate that three-quarters of the state’s primary voters support temporarily banning Muslims who are not U.S. citizens from entering the United States. That’s even more than the support for this proposal among GOP voters in New Hampshire, 65 percent – a core support group for Trump in that state.

Many fewer – but still more than four in 10 – favor deporting undocumented immigrants, another very strong group for Trump in New Hampshire. And, in another helpful result for Trump, four in 10 pick him among five top candidates as best able to handle the economy – twice as many as pick his nearest competitor on this issue, Ted Cruz.

Other results are potentially helpful to other candidates. Eight in 10 GOP voters in South Carolina identify themselves as conservative, and four in 10 as very conservative – both on pace to set records in exit poll data in the state back to 1992. (In 2012, for example, 68 percent were conservatives.)

(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: South Carolina
KEYWORDS: 2016polls; sc2016
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To: Redmen4ever

I’ve been thinking that Bush pulling out all the stops would be good for 3rd in SC, given all the old-school establishment traditional Republicans in the low country part of the state. It’s not necessarily a given that a battle for 2nd is between Rubio and Cruz, imho.


21 posted on 02/20/2016 3:08:12 PM PST by RegulatorCountry
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To: X-spurt

22 posted on 02/20/2016 3:09:06 PM PST by Hoodat (Article 4, Section 4)
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To: 20yearsofinternet

Cruz cheated in Iowa and yet Trump has run the dirtiest campaign? I don’t think so.


23 posted on 02/20/2016 3:09:15 PM PST by Catsrus (I callz 'em as I seez 'em)
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To: Catsrus

I agree, but there are probably a bunch of older people voting for Kasich and Bush who think Trump has filed a bunch of “Twitter lawsuits”. LOL


24 posted on 02/20/2016 3:10:43 PM PST by 20yearsofinternet (Border: Close it. Illegals: Deport. Muslims: Ban 'em. Economy: Liberate it. PC: Kill it. Trump 2016)
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To: Catsrus

SC thinks so! hahahaha


25 posted on 02/20/2016 3:11:21 PM PST by txhurl (I'm NO LONGER with the Nasty Canadian '16 (well, unless he wins ;))(and he did))
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To: NKP_Vet

The exit polls that Fox just reported bodes well for Cruz IMO unless Fox withheld some important questions that favor Trump.


26 posted on 02/20/2016 3:11:27 PM PST by Kahuna
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To: Cementjungle

Cut their water off and they will be begging to cross the border. They are only here for easy pickings.


27 posted on 02/20/2016 3:12:29 PM PST by anton
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To: The Iceman Cometh

It just means that 6 out of 10 didn’t understand the question.


28 posted on 02/20/2016 3:12:31 PM PST by shibumi (Vampire Outlaw of the Milky Way)
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To: C. Edmund Wright

Facing facts, I believe they’ll be given legal status, regardless of who wins in November. Hopefully we can hold the line and there’ll be no path to citizenship (no right to vote).


29 posted on 02/20/2016 3:13:08 PM PST by Heart of Georgia
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To: NKP_Vet

Charles Krauthammer just stated that the bottom three are in single digits (Bush, Kaisch, Carson).

They already know, of course, who won.


30 posted on 02/20/2016 3:13:29 PM PST by odawg
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To: 20yearsofinternet
-- About what I'd expect for Donald from all the people who call him a bully and want a GOPe pick, but man that number for Cruz doesn't bode well. --

We don't have a question or data that tells us whether people adjust their vote based on perceived unfairness of ANY candidate. Maybe there is no correlation at all.

31 posted on 02/20/2016 3:14:47 PM PST by Cboldt
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To: Heart of Georgia

“Hopefully we can hold the line and there’ll be no path to citizenship (no right to vote).”

Deportation would be a lot easier to accomplish than that.


32 posted on 02/20/2016 3:15:22 PM PST by odawg
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To: The Iceman Cometh

Yep, sounds like 6 in 10 in SC would like to turn the US into mexico.

But HEY! the shareholders will make out like bandits, and they get to dump all of the formerly employed people of SC on the welfare rolls.

I bet a lot of people in SC would really be pissed off if they knew what the yankees and europeans whom they replaced used to make, and how at that lower payscale, now have pay for their welfare benefits on top of it.

All I can say is enjoy it while it lasts.


33 posted on 02/20/2016 3:17:08 PM PST by factoryrat (We are the producers, the creators. Grow it, mine it, build it.)
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To: Hoodat

Moan now, whats da be sayin?


34 posted on 02/20/2016 3:17:29 PM PST by X-spurt
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To: NKP_Vet

I think it means the data from exit polling that the media can release before the polls close — notice nothing in the excerpt, at least, directly addressed candidate preference, the thing that the media used to get in trouble for using to project winners before the polls closed.


35 posted on 02/20/2016 3:17:52 PM PST by The_Reader_David (And when they behead your own people in the wars which are to come, then you will know...)
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To: NKP_Vet

I know I believe anything ABC says....


36 posted on 02/20/2016 3:17:58 PM PST by heights
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To: NKP_Vet

This is very good news for Cruz, if it can be trusted. Cruz polls far better among “very conservative” than “moderate” or “somewhat conservative.”

NBC/WSJ tilted too heavily towards Cruz compared to most other pollsters, but I’m looking to them to show RELATIVE strength among groups.

Among moderates, Trump led Cruz, 20-11. Among rather conservatives, he led 32-21. But among very conservatives, he lost 22-42.

Again, I recognize that NBC/WSJ was more favorable towards Cruz than other polls, and even they didn’t predict a Cruz win. But if you take NBC/WSJ’s subpopulations and adjust them to the turnout shown by the exit poll, Cruz would actually win.

Mind you, that’s a big “if.”


37 posted on 02/20/2016 3:19:50 PM PST by dangus
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To: NKP_Vet

Bush and Kasich are both competing for the same votes, so each of them would probably like the other guy to drop out so the survivor can inherit the other’s votes and get somewhere consistently above single-digits.


38 posted on 02/20/2016 3:20:23 PM PST by Steve_Seattle ("Above all, shake your bum at Burton.")
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To: Catsrus

Half of the voters said they wanted someone who “shares” their values. Most voted for Cruz. So in otherwords they’re uninformed and never watch TV and don’t keep up with all the lowlife tactics that Cruz uses against anyone. He has apparently convinced them that’s he’s a real Christian.


39 posted on 02/20/2016 3:20:23 PM PST by NKP_Vet (In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle,stand like a rock ~ T, Jefferson)
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To: Catsrus

Half of the voters said they wanted someone who “shares” their values. Most voted for Cruz. So in otherwords they’re uninformed and never watch TV and don’t keep up with all the lowlife tactics that Cruz uses against anyone. He has apparently convinced them that’s he’s a real Christian.


40 posted on 02/20/2016 3:20:28 PM PST by NKP_Vet (In matters of style, swim with the current; in matters of principle,stand like a rock ~ T, Jefferson)
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