Posted on 02/12/2016 7:06:12 AM PST by xzins
The latest national poll by Morning Consult shows that Republican presidential front-runner Donald Trump's lead has spiked by 6 points over second-place Ted Cruz, whose support remains flat.
The survey, released Friday, conducted Wednesday and Thursday, after Trump's win in the New Hampshire primary, also shows that a decline in the percentage of voters who support someone other than the six remaining GOP candidates or who haven't made up their minds.
Here's the breakdown:
•Donald Trump: 44 percent (up from 38 percent a week earlier)
•Ted Cruz: 17 percent (17 percent)
•Ben Carson: 10 percent (9 percent)
•Marco Rubio: 10 percent (15 percent)
•Jeb Bush: 8 percent (6 percent)
•John Kasich 4 percent (2 percent)
•Someone else 1 percent (6 percent)
•Don't know/No opinion 6 percent (8 percent)
(Excerpt) Read more at newsmax.com ...
If Trump is the nominee, many Cruz supporters will have a temper tantrum and stay home.
That, right there, is a very key point. Those Cruz supporters who would stay home are, IMHO, demonstrating that they are very immature, and I also question their true dedication to the cause of conservatism - after all, they will choose not to vote for someone who will give them 50%-75% of what they want, and allow someone who will give them 0% of what they claim to want (and what is CLEARLY best for this country) to skate into office. That is a decided lack of courage, and I simply don't understand it or agree with it.
President Trump!
Love the sound of it!
Have had to hear how Trump support has a plateau, but its Cruz that has a peak.
The punditry is still so misreading this cycle that its scary.
Trump will continue to grow his lead methodically nationally, and once he hits 45% or so, even if the establishment coalesces around a candidate, they can’t win the nomination.
With every victory Trump will gain a few more points... THe only state where Trump may lose the nomination would be maybe TX at this point. Cruz’s home state show him with a 6 point lead last polls I checked, but I bet next set of polls will show that lead shrinking.
Carson is the sore loser, the Iowa Governor and Secretary of State are cogs in the Ethanol Machine, and of course there’s Trump, another sore loser. All have axes to grind.
I will research what Steyn had to say about this issue to get a more dispassionate third-party take.
I must admit, I’m flabbergasted that is it now considered sleazy for a politician to ask people to vote for him on election day.
Let’s be honest here, Carson is dropping out. Apparently he was not smart enough to the see the hand writing on the wall that was so plain to so many even on Iowa caucus day. And seriously, leaving on the day of the caucus to fly home and get clean clothes??? How can someone running at the national level be so clueless regarding the optics of that! What person who has not been following politics for any length of time would not read his actions any other way than to conclude he was dropping out? BTW, he did the same thing in NH! He left on election day and didn’t stick around to thank his supporters.
Ben Carson is an impressive man, but he is not ready for political prime-time and his troubles are of his own making. Let’s not blame Cruz for them.
“There is no national primary! Cruz will win the evangelical vote! Donald Trump will quite! Did I miss any? ;-)”
Implode anytime. It is quite shopworn right now, but still getting passed around.
You know, I agree with this. I am a Trump supporter and obviously becoming more adamant about it as this election moves forward. At this juncture, now I am even reconsidering any thought that Cruz would get a good VP choice, in fact I would not want that now.
But if, and it won’t happen anyway, Cruz got the nomination, I of course would vote for Cruz over Hillary or Sanders. But I suspect the too many behind Cruz are so full of hate now ginned into them about conspiracy theories regarding Trump working for Hillary, these Glenn Becker bonkers who are going to totally in the end ruin Cruz’s campaign and you can bank on that, too many of them would sit on their hinnies and not go out and vote in the general after Trump gets the nomination. For that I will forever hold some of these idiots like Levin who has gone becker responsible.
But then again, now that I rethink that - even if these types sit at home and don’t go out and vote, Hillary is such damaged goods even pretty much ANY Republican is going to defeat her, you watch as the Republicans are just keeping there powder dry right now as far as Hillary and you are not going to believe what is incoming as far as open warfare once the general kicks in and it is going to be bad for her, real bad, and as far as Bernie, he will lose to the Republican candidate.
So even if the Cruz types who have eaten into their own stomach lining this insane conspiracy hatred peddled by Beckers, the Republicans won’t need their vote. Hillary is going to lose the general. She is toast.
They will hold a grudge. Thy will sit it out, or vote third party. That’s okay, I hold grudges and occasionally vote third party too ;-) Personal conscience is to be respected.
“I hope they have the honesty not to go to Bush or Rubio or Kasich who are parts of the establishment.”
It seems personal with a sizeable plurality of them. I expect a fair number of those will stay home.
Yep. I could never warm to Cruz. I tried and it just didn’t happen. The more I hear of how his campaign is being run, which is not how a true Christian would do things, I step further and further away from him as being a second choice. He did this to himself.
I think Trump has a much better shot at winning. He will get independents and people will come out for him not in play with the other candidates. So we will find out if I am right. But I like Cruz so it pains to have to keep harping at him. However, I sense he turns off a lot of people Trump can get. That’s all. But Cruz was once my first choice. He fell to second, but if he was nominated what other choice do I have but vote for him.
Love it!
“I’m a Trump supporter but he still worries me with his demeanor. If he can just tone it down a bit and act more presidential, I think he has this pretty much won.”
I listened to a fair portion of his rally in Baton Rouge last night. He DID tone it down. More booster, less rough edge and wrecking ball. He was positive and inspirational somewhat like a coach. He will go more game field than pulpit in the South. That will resonate, and will win.
Expect a cheap, slippery imitation of that presentation from you-know-who when it is seen to have traction.
Bernie Sanders is the biggest headline coming from this poll. At one time Hillary was beating him nationally by over 50 pts, and even then team Hillary were predicting that Bernie would win a number of primary states. He is positioned to over take her nationally now especially if he wins Nevada next week, which the Hillary people are saying is possible.
I hope he is starting to fix his demeanor. At this point, he does not even need to go negative and attack anyone.
A man is being nice to his very own sister. Would you expect him to bad-mouth his sister on national TV? I wouldn’t.
And no way a man could appoint his own family member to a scotus seat. The Congress and people would have a melt down.
(Although they don’t about Bush1, Bush2, Bush3...all from the same family. Thank you N. Korea, the Bushes are close behind.)
Good point!
Then he should have never mentioned his sister. By sying hissisterwould makea good USSupreme court Justice, he is admitting that he approves of judges who would decide cases much like his sister would.
See #34
No. He’s just being a brother.
By the way, I had those threads pulled. If you look for them, you shouldn’t find them. If you do find them let me know and I’ll try again.
Ohio is winner take all, and if Kasich sees an establishment candidate closing in on Trump, then Kasich will try to win the state.
He won in a landslide for governor, but I’m not sure he’d win by saying, “let me control the delegates.”
I don’t think he’s got that kind of pull with the voters, ALTHOUGH our establishment papers would be fighting for him all the way.
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