FR THREAD Dec 5, 2015
To: Cincinatus' Wife A few points in response.
Correlation does not equal causation. If the start of a rise in mean global temperature occurs simultaneously with increased emissions of CO2 from industrialization, it does not mean that the latter caused the former.
The burden of proof is on the supporters of AGW to demonstrate the validity of their model, not on the skeptics to prove them wrong.
In the current debate on climate, the AGW hypothesis is unfalsifiable -- if the mean global temperature rises, it's AGW; if it cools, it's AGW. Any observation can be accommodated to AGW. A model that can be expanded to explain everything, explains nothing.
CO2 levels in the geological past have exceeded several thousand parts per million, long before humans even existed. So clearly, a natural mechanism for an increase in CO2 content must exist.
The most dire predictions of AGW come not from any observation, but from extrapolation of computer models. Chaotic behavior makes reliance on such models questionable.
In contrast to the claims of this article, there are multiple alternatives to AGW for climate change, including variations in solar radiation, the role of cosmic rays in nucleating cloud formation and global cloud cover, wobbles in the Earth's obliquity over geological time, volcanic pulses that inject massive amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere and other geological effects, such as meteorite impact. None of these factors are accounted for in climate modeling because we cannot estimate the magnitude of their influence.
Finally, there is the social aspect of all this. Science in this country is largely funded by the federal government, with grants and contracts being distributed on the basis of peer review. Go against your peers at your peril; it is simply much easier and politically savvy to find errors and faults with the grant proposals of the naysayers and skeptics than it is with those of members of the "consensus." Money makes the world go around.
In my lifetime, I have never seen such a poorly justified, scientifically barren, morally corrupt episode as the current campaign of climate change panic, screeching and idiocy. It's a real psychological case study. Future generations will laugh at our credulity.
7 posted on 12/6/2015, 3:59:33 AM by Cincinatus (Omnia relinquit servare Rempublicam)
Cruz is trying to not be nuanced so he can communicate clearly, but the fact is...the world has warmed up, will warm up, because it has been since the last great ice age.
The issue is the human contribution to the warming, it is so small that it isn’t even registering in any statistically significant way over the natural warming.
The only so-called proof that it exists, is in computer simulations. Anyone will tell you, that you can’t statistically prove anything off a statistical simulation. Statistics on Statistics doesn’t work, it lies.
When I was a teen it was global cooling. Now that I’m in my senior years it’s global warming. I lived 30 miles from Chicago were we got lake effect snow,I remember shoveling snow up to my butt as a teen and the eldest, rest to young to do it.
I’ve seen bad winters and summers, and vice versa come and go. If we were going to have global warming it would have happened during the Industrial Revolution when pollution was not regulated and nearly every one used wood or coal to heat their homes. Any one remember the Dust Bowl? http://www.history.com/topics/dust-bowl over grazing is a big problem all over the world.
If AL moron is behind it it’s fake.
http://6-bleen-7.livejournal.com/30384.html
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