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Compost fluffs up cruise because they know he can be destroyed. Absolutely no path to the presidency.
Can’t wait till March 5th. Thanks Rand for the KY Caucus! We finally matter.
Very interesting. Thank you.
I agree. The upcoming states look very good for Cruz.
We need now to kill the establishment beast.
Go, Ted, go! I will be voting for him on March 15 here in Missouri.
I think the most likely scenario is that Cruz comes in second in the GOP primary. And that is generally a positive thing.
I LOVE how they assume that the only reason someone would really want to vote for Cruz is because they are white and evangelical.
Way to subtly marginalize Cruz voters.
Because everyone whom is an “evangelical” will of course vote for Cruz. Because independent decisions are completely foreign to the one denomination (hint: It isnt one) that this group supposedly belongs to.
I swear is this group supposed to be like the blacks of our side of the aisle? Some assumption that because they are “evangelical” Christians, they will automatically go for the guy that does the best preacher act?
It’s like Hillary going to black churches and turning her best southern twang, and then kicking back and waiting for the votes to pour in.
Cruz leaning on these people to this open extant makes him even less appealing as a general election candidate.
Unlike New Hampshire, conservatives in the south tend to be socially conservative as well as politically conservative. Cruz will no doubt hit Trump on his comments about gay rights, gay marriage, abortion, and other issues that will interest them more than they do northeastern voters.
From the title, I thought this would be a Leon Wolf piece.
Nice try, except Trump does well with evangelicals as well. And Trump does well with conservative, moderate and liberal Republicans, while Cruz does terrible with moderate and liberal Republicans. And for states with open primaries, Trump blows the doors off everyone with support from unaffiliated voters. Cruz does horrendously with independents. So if Cruz faced Trump in a state with only evangelicals, Cruz might come out ahead more times than not, but unfortunately for Cruz, the Republican Party is made up of more than just a narrow group of evangelicals. If Cruz could break 20% in any national poll or state poll (besides Iowa) there might be some merit to the theory. However, he hasn’t, can’t and won’t. Cruz got smoked by 66,000 votes in NH. That’s unbelievable. 66,000! He has no appeal beyond evangelicals and some conservatives.
It’s really very simple. Trump is a national candidate, while Cruz is at best a regional candidate, but more realistically, he is a candidate that appeals to a narrow segment of the party. The reality is this. Trump is running a conservative campaign. You and all the Cruz supporters disagree, but the facts are that Trump is running a conservative campaign. Trump is going to win any state that Cruz would in the general, and Trump will win many more states that Cruz will have no chance in. So really Cruz brings nothing to the table nationally other than President Sanders or President Clinton.
And Trump beat Cruz in other other single category.
Do this numbers include a cheat factor?
Very good analysis. Pretty much what I have been saying.
I won’t as my wife would get very PO’ed:-)
Florida is a closed primary and winner takes all. That will be huge. Who is expected to win there?