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Hillary Clinton Has The Most Statistically Improbable Coin-Toss Luck Ever
The Blaze ^ | Feb. 2, 2016 | Leigh Munsil

Posted on 02/02/2016 5:38:46 AM PST by Krosan

DES MOINES, Iowa — One of the most bizarre details to emerge from Monday’s Iowa caucuses was that in six Democratic counties, the ownership of six delegates was decided by a coin flip.

A single delegate remained unassigned at the end of caucusing in two precincts in Des Moines, one precinct in Ames, one in Newton, one in West Branch and one in Davenport, The Des Moines Register reported.

In all six instances, the coin toss was won by former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton over Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders.

There may have been more coin tosses, but those are the ones we know about for now.

Now, get ready to do some math.

In a single coin toss, the probability of calling the toss correctly is 50 percent, or one in two. Heads or tails.

But the probably of winning every flip out of six flips is one in 64, or 1.56 percent.

The online study tool “Coin Toss Probability Calculator” has a really intense formula that explains why, but the bottom line is, the probabilities stack on each other.

You’re 50 percent likely to win one coin flip. But you’re only 25 percent likely to win two consecutive coin flips, because there are now twice as many possible outcomes. So bump that up to six coin flips, and your chances of winning them all are slim:

(Excerpt) Read more at theblaze.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Iowa
KEYWORDS: clinton; hillarycointoss; iowa; iowacaucus
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To: IDontLikeToPayTaxes
Maybe a younger generation of Democrats will realize how corrupt Hillary really is.

They don't care. They have been taught not to care. They have been taught to believe that this sort of thing is the norm. Taught by the Mother State. Cheating is how business is done.

Now, shut up and eat your peas. Nothing to see here.

41 posted on 02/02/2016 6:18:12 AM PST by Bloody Sam Roberts (Why do we give our hearts to the past? And why must we grow up so fast?)
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To: Krosan

Wouldn’t be surprised to hear that Bern won some of the coin tosses, but then Canky got him to agree to make it best of 3, and then best of 5.


42 posted on 02/02/2016 6:20:43 AM PST by C210N (Supporting the Constitutional Conservative in the race. Constitutional Conservative Cruz.)
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To: Krosan

Coin tosses? Coin tosses are part of the electoral process, seriously?


43 posted on 02/02/2016 6:25:29 AM PST by Mr. Blond
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To: grania

Yeh right? Freakin’ coin tosses in a voting venue? WTH-— vote counts only..demoRat corruptions Las Vegas style.


44 posted on 02/02/2016 6:38:14 AM PST by tflabo (res about them)
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To: grania

The coin—Heads Hellary wins, tails Bernie loses.


45 posted on 02/02/2016 6:40:20 AM PST by tflabo (res about them)
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To: Krosan

Oh. You know. It’s just another one of those “Vast Right
Wing Conspiracies” . .


46 posted on 02/02/2016 6:41:34 AM PST by Twinkie (John 3:16)
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To: tflabo

I’m just wondering if it wasn’t pre-planned to steal close situations with a rigged coin toss. Am I allowed to spell that out instead of tiptoe around it?


47 posted on 02/02/2016 6:45:48 AM PST by grania
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To: Krosan

Sanders should know how lucky he is!

Six rigged coin tosses are a lot better than 6 feet of grass in Fort Marcy Park.


48 posted on 02/02/2016 8:07:40 AM PST by drpix
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To: Krosan
Boston Globe has the raw numbers.

https://apps.bostonglobe.com/election-results/2016/caucuses/democratic/iowa/


Do those Globe results say that if the coin tosses went 50-50 Sanders would have won by 2 votes?

49 posted on 02/02/2016 8:53:06 AM PST by az_gila
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To: Blood of Tyrants

Magic act subterfuge-—substitute a coin by deft manipulation?


50 posted on 02/02/2016 10:36:01 AM PST by Ozark Tom
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