In short, it kinda takes care of the low informational voter who shows up knowing nothing. This person will be swayed like a turd in the ocean.
I think overall this is a good thing, because people listen, learn and talk about it.
How will this pan out? I think over all it plays AGAINST someone like TRUMP. When it comes time to vote, Iowans vote for the "best person" based on Judeo-Christian values. USUALLY THE GUY WHO VISITS ALL PRECINCTS AND COUNTIES AND SHAKES HANDS.
I think Carson and Paul will do better than expected. I think Trump will do much worse and probably tie to Cruz.
If I'm wrong, and Trump wins big, then it puts these Caucuses on their ear. Trump's approach, come to me. Sure, there have been big rallies, but the biggest have been in the tri or quad city areas. I contend that many of these people are not from Iowa.
I'm hoping for Trump. I want him to win, even by one vote, but it looks like a long shot at the moment.
The latest polls seem to show a virtual 3-way tie among Trump, Cruz, and Rubio.
Then you haven’t heard about Trump’s ground game.
If I heard correctly, he has 25,000 volunteers going door to door.....
...and also phoning.....and leaving doorknob flyers at homes...
He has been doing this under the radar!
Heard this on Morning Joe today
GO TRUMP!!
The 5 brothers who received special presidential permission to serve in the same navy unit during WWII.
Heros all.
Well, I know Grant Wood and American Gothic - the rest... don’t know. Serial killers aren’t my thing.
Can’t wait ‘til tonight! :-)
I’ll be happy to see Iowa in the rear view mirror.
If Trump loses Iowa, he still is front runner for nomination. If Cruz loses Iowa, he is probably finished. I would like Cruz to stay in longer and continue to block Rubio, so I am okay with a Cruz win in Iowa. But keep this in mind, Trump hates losing. He has kept his ground game secret, just like he said he would his generals. Everyone who has doubted him has been wrong. I believe he wins by 4. But he may win by 10+.
Grant Wood. There is a picture of a piece of barn wood with a feather in the Chicago Art museum that is unbelievable. American Gothic brush work looks amateur by comparison. The simple chicken feather appears so three dimensional and real.
Iirc there may be a chicken in picture too but it’s the feather that has forever impressed me.
Five brothers who served togwthee in NAVY during WWII
Beautiful Guenie is right in her Post #5.
I’m also watching Morning Joe and maybe you should too.
I can’t believe you’ve gone wobbly at this juncture.
Please realize that Luntz’s Focus Groups are handpicked to INFLUENCE by the hiring cable news outlet: FNC (promoting Rubio, anti-Trump, anti-Cruz).
For a while there, Luntz was not welcome at Fox News and was forced to peddle his crap groups at
CNN.
I thought I heard Trump say yesterday that he would be in a couple of caucus locations tonight. He didn’t mention it, but I wonder if Ivanka, her husband, Melania and possibly Jerry Falwell, Jr (and maybe even his family) will be in others. I read something earlier on FR that Trump actually has a better ground game than is being portrayed (I hope that’s true as many are touting how great the Cruz ground game is).
I think the difference in the caucuses (at least as I understand it from what I’ve read) is that the Pubbies do the votes by secret ballot, so to speak, whereas with the Dims, the person has to actually go stand with the group for the candidate they want. IMHO some may not want to say they’re voting for Trump, but will do so via secret ballot.
I heard or read the other day that Trump was sending shuttles around for those that needed a ride, but haven’t heard anything about that since.
The crowds for Trump events have been largest by far - how that translates for the number of those going to caucus is anyone’s guess. The one solace I take is that Ann Seltzer on the Des Moines Register poll has a great prediction rate as does Microsoft’s bing and they both predict a Trump win in Iowa. While I would prefer for Trump to be #1 in Iowa, I wouldn’t have a problem in Cruz is #1 and Trump is close behind at #2. I suspect Rubio will be #3 - just hope he’s not better than that and I would prefer Carson #3 and Rubio further down (sorry, just think he’s swarmy and he reminds me of a used car salesman with his fast talk).
It will definitely be an interesting evening!
I’m on the road later today, still in before the ZOT, I trust, but will not be able to remark during the rallies.
Oh, I predict Trump wins handily. IIRC, my prediciton on the prediction thread was Trump 32, Rubio 18, Cruz 15.
Never before seen major networks completely blackout the leading candidate the way FOX news has Trump this weekend. Major push for Rubio, who will not inspire the base, leading to Clinton win. I hope Iowans and conservatives across this country tremble when they see the extent which leftest establishment institutions, and evidently FOX, join together and pull out all the stops to keep power in the hands of the party/media cabal. Think. Don’t fall for their BS. The candidate the establishment is terrified of is Trump. A vote for anybody else is siding with establishment.
Kinda strange pessimism, unless you’re trying not to jinx it! Me, I can’t see how Trump can rouse the crowds he is everyday in IA and not win it. Does anybody really think these crowds are too lazy to caucus?
As always... thanks to Nikos!
Standing to the corner of Donald Trump, his campaign manager- Dr Werner Von Braun, contemplates their run-up to the White House.
I heard last night (on the weather) that Republicans just go in and vote at a caucus that the Democrats are the ones doing the talking, cajoling, etc.
It was said in the context that the snow would hurt Democrats more as they’d be going home in it.
Do you have cold feet this morning??
Put on some warm socks!
GO TRUMP!
I just got an email from the Trump campaign which said that Sarah Palin will be at the Cedar Rapids rally.