The latest polls seem to show a virtual 3-way tie among Trump, Cruz, and Rubio.
Are you referring to that BS poll that came out late last night from some unknown pollster? Nate Silver put out a tweet on that operation. Even so, that was great news for Trump because is showed him in the lead with the tightest screen criteria possible: are you definitely voting and what is the address of your caucus location. There was only one more question left to get Trumps numbers down: “Are you voting for Trump, if so, you are excluded from poll”
Things have been relatively calm in the world and here. Iowans will vote their heart not with their anger.
I say it will be in this order:
1. Cruz
2. Paul
3. Carson
4. Rubio
5. Trump
I hope I am wrong, but I will assure you that if Trump loses or does poorly, he will be even more determined.
In Iowa if Trump loses or does poorly it’s because:
1. Use of foul language at Rallies
2. Going over the top when his opponent was already beating, piling on of Cruz and Bush I think went over board.
3. Going after people like Bob Vander Platts was ill advised.
4. Missing the Last Debate
5. Not spending more time in the street, walking the precincts and meeting people face to face
6. Not convincing people that he holds conservative values esp with the choices for SCOTUS. I think of all, yes all, issues for conservatives we want to be assured that the next 3 to 4 judges will be like Clarence Thomas.
7. In the end the media locally and nationally worked hard behind the scenes to undermine his campaign
8. Did not have the best ground game
9. Did not have many people in gov’t supporting him.
10.Is a New Yorker.
If Trump wins or does well it’s because of 1 to 10 above.
Maybe this has been mentioned before today, but I’m not comfortable with them using Microsoft gizmos to tally results. How “convenient” is it that big lib Gates will have complete control over (alleged) votes?