Posted on 01/20/2016 1:09:18 PM PST by xzins
At a store recently, I overheard a middle-aged woman shouting on her cell phone while marching down an aisle.
The woman exclaimed: "Forget about that! Trump will get in there and clean the place out!'
It gave me my biggest laugh of the week. I had no idea what the woman and the other person were discussing, but I wasn't surprised by her assertion.
Polls show many Americans are angry and frustrated - from their skyrocketing health insurance premiums and their inability to keep their doctors under ObamaCare - to stagnant wages, the $19-trillion federal debt, immigration and terrorism, and other dysfunctional foreign policies.
So as I thought about the humorous store incident, other developments and historical events, I started thinking about the 2016 presidential election.
My conclusion: The Republican race is over - if the establishment Republicans wake up and smell the coffee - and accept that Donald Trump holds the only ticket to success. Further, he has already won the election.
"What?' you incredulously ask.
Agreed, Mr. Trump has been crass.
However, this also means he won't suffer the same fate as former Gov. Mitt Romney, an astute businessman, but too tepid in responding to disingenuous political attacks. Although leading President Barack Obama by 5 percentage points in the June 2012 polls, Mr. Romney lost because he failed to respond to any attacks that summer.
Mr. Romney was ostensibly defensive about his wealth. Not Mr. Trump. He sees it as a marketing strength and is known for his acerbic responses to political attacks. He crushes his opponents.
With the overwhelming problems facing the U.S. and world, the campaigns demonstrate a lot of voters would rather cope with occasional dubious behavior from a patriotic American than a demagogic socialist as president.
They feel any of the Republican candidates would be preferable over Sen. Bernie Sanders, Sec. Hillary Clinton or any other Democrat should she be indicted.
But not necessarily in an order of priorities, here are the eight things that have led to my sense of Mr. Trump's odds for success:
1. Mr. Trump has softened his sarcasm. Notice he hasn't been sarcastic lately with insane, personal attacks. In some ways, he's softened his tone.
2. Only Mr. Trump understands retail marketing. He's employing classic marketing principles:
A) His campaign slogan is in the proven range of three to five words, "Make America Great Again!' Contrast that with his competitors - none has positive, memorable slogans.
B) He repeats his slogan often. For effective messaging in the 21st century, a frequency rate of five times is needed to persuade the average American.
Unlike Senators Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio, for example, Mr. Trump knows not to claim he's the "best Conservative.' He's more influential by his promoting a patriotic image than it is to proclaim he's the only candidate who can wear the label of "best Conservative.'
His rhetoric most-effectively addresses the angry emotions of most Americans. He anticipated they'd like the idea of a temporary ban on immigrants from Islamic countries to sort things out.
Also, Mr. Trump realizes he has to attract a like-minded pool of voters over economic and national-security issues. Friends have told me their liberal friends from New York to California will secretly vote for a Trump ticket.
It's also been widely reported that he under polls because respondents to pollsters don't always tell the truth about whom they support.
snip...See Remainder at link
Not voting for a New York liberal. No way, no how. That includes Hillary and Donald
Same here. I will not vote for another liberal.
Concur, and if he is successful, I expect a new generation of Republicans who do not follow the old pandering, apologetic model so evident among this season's other candidates.
That and also his willingness to own his political incorrectness are great gifts to future campaigns.
That makes more sense than all of the talking heads on Fox.
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This is my example based on the Crusade: Who do you want leading you into battle against a jihad army? Someone who knows the bible inside and out but has never lead an army into combat or a knight with war skills but not the most holly of rollers?
Cruz is a lawyer - a smart lawyer - what has he built? Has he ever made payroll? Can he command an organization to follow his orders? Can he deal with congress? Dealing is not a bad thing - the Constitution forces deals and compromises.
God bless Texas!
Excellent post. Many point on comments !
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