As for Cruz voters staying home, Trump does NOT need every fringe Cruzer’s vote. Have you seen the poll where Trump is polling 25% of African-American voters? Romney got 4%.
“Trump does NOT need every fringe Cruzer’s vote”
I think you’re going to find out how very wrong you are. Trump may have more black votes than Romney, but 25% of the votes for a 13% black population does NOT equal losing 20% of the Cruz vote with a 50% population group. That is simple math and Trump can NOT win without Cruz supporters. The math just simply does NOT work in Trump’s favor.
Also, most of the polls are very skewed because they take a small sample size out of a generally urban area and use that, without many parameter, to determine popularity. That never works out in favor of republicans, which is why the polls showed more support for Romney and McCain than actually materialized on election day. Trump will be NO different...just wait and see.