Posted on 01/05/2016 8:49:20 PM PST by Helicondelta
It's time to get serious about investing again. In that spirit, here are my predictions for the economy, the markets, interest rates, and politics in 2016.
This year, I'm stepping back from my long-term optimism about U.S. stocks and calling for the end of the bull market, although I doubt it will be accompanied by a recession and financial crisis. So, here goes:
1. No U.S. recession, and the economy muddles along: Solid housing and automotive sales should help the U.S. economy post 2%+ GDP growth, but not more. A strong dollar will continue to hurt exports, and weak global markets will keep U.S. growth subdued.
...
5. The Republican presidential and vice-presidential nominees will be Donald Trump and Sen. Ted Cruz: It's the obvious ticket, since each is leading in the polls and is strong among different constituencies. Cruz attracts Evangelical Christians and Tea Party sympathizers, while Trump draws angry, disaffected white working- and middle-class Republicans and even some Democrats who yearn for a "strong leader"
Proportional assignment of delegates in the early primaries and caucuses will prevent any candidate from locking up the nomination early. But it may well weed out the also-rans, including former Gov. Jeb Bush and even Sen. Marco Rubio, whose campaign can't seem to sweat the details. That would be a blow to the Republican Establishment, hedge-fund donors, neocons and the mainstream media.
I think the fix is in. Trump and Cruz are handling each other with kid gloves. Would Sen. Cruz agree to play second fiddle to alpha-male Trump? In less time than it takes to say, "Yes, sir."
(Excerpt) Read more at marketwatch.com ...
In a flat year for stocks (like in 2015) or when they decline, bond mutual funds should be making money. But bond funds sucked in 2015, and they aren’t doing squat so far in 2016. The financial markets are so disconnected from reality.
So he thinks Trump/Cruz can’t beat a criminal like hitlery, eh.
Interesting. Has he listened to Trump and Cruz at all? They are playing softball right now because they don’t want to give the dems much ammo to use against them in the main event.
Trump will make it impossible for any decent American citizen to vote for cankles. He has an entire war chest spilling over with ammo from her long dark life of crime. Once he exposes her she will have no chance at all. Bernie might be an ok guy but neither him or the ex pretty boy gov from MD are president material. Neither is her heinous for that matter.
Barring the unforeseen. Trump will be our next President. My true hope is he goes for the full two terms followed by Cruz for another two making it a blissful 16 years to help get this country back on track.
Obie and her heinous will quickly become a fading memory to be despised and vilified.
Agree. Trump landslide over Hillary . Pop vote 55-42-3 other. EV 380-430 for Trump. Beast carries Ca, Il and a few small states like HI, Vt, RI, MA, ETC.
Wow, that seems like a lot of wishful thinking. I figure Hillary is good for at least 200 EVs and 45% of the popular vote against Trump. My prediction has little to do with the strength of Hillary as it does the sad state of this country.
We are still in a recession. The govt. has phonied numbers on inflation,growth and unemployment for seven years. Please start your predictions with a fresh sheet of paper.
Interesting. Has he listened to Trump and Cruz at all? They are playing softball right now because they don’t want to give the dems much ammo to use against them in the main event.
He's an asshat. A Trump/Cruz ticket would be unstoppable!
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