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Posted on 01/03/2016 10:14:02 AM PST by Hojczyk
But if Trump wins or effectively deadlocks Iowa, it will give him a decisive advantage going into more favorable terrain in New Hampshire and the South, where he has invested considerable time and drawn record crowds ahead of the March 1 Super Tuesday primary.
What s far too little understood is that Trump s approach has not only won him support among Republicans, but positions him well to compete for the critical independents and swing voters who will decide the general election.
For these voters, whose thinking and voting habits I’ve studied throughout my career in polling, Trump combines uniquely forthright political communication skills and an issue focus that directly addresses many of their deepest concerns, while embodying the anger and desire for change that resonates especially strongly with independents.
But if Trump deviates too far from what has worked for him to this point, he sets himself up for a potential fall should he get to the general election.
Certainly, Trump s fusillade against the Clintons has benefits in the primary. He continues to suck the air out of the race, relegating every other candidate to lesser coverage. He may also get a boost among social conservatives that he can’t get from his relative weakness, from their perspective, on abortion and same-sex marriage.
But as general election strategy, it s far smarter for Trump to channel widespread dissatisfaction with Obama and emphasize his winning issues of economic growth, immigration and national security. Clinton-bashing is a detour, not the road to victory.
(Excerpt) Read more at nydailynews.com ...
We are witnessing the 2nd American revolution for freedom.
Yep, and all those people CAN’T be only Republican. The establishment better be worried.
Trump has to force Hillary to actually engage in a campaign, and not allow her to sit on her butt. Make her respond to his attacks, make her go from one rally to the next to the next, force her to take actual questions, and not just set up stunts. In other words, make her engage in the rigors of a real campaign. Within two weeks she would have either a stroke or a nervous breakdown. I saw her giving an interview in Iowa a couple of weeks ago after one of her stage managed little events, and she looked like she was ready to collapse from fatigue.
Trump crowds have lots of Dems, and independents too. Lots of Blacks and Hispanics. And yes lots of Republicans who are just sick of the Do Nothing Washington RINOS.
Now if Trump and win the Vatican IOWA caucus, that Reagan and Romney both lost, he is on his way.
Trump will do just fine with independents.
Will also do quite well with hispanic’s and blacks.
What’s funny is how much these reporters and other ‘experts’ keep resorting to past templates to try to tell us why Trump can’t win.
Lately they said that much of his support is from voters that don’t often vote, so therefore he won’t get a decent turnout. They NEVER consider that maybe those voters are mad as hell and the reason they didn’t turn out much in the past is because they had nothing to vote for.
Now they tell us that the verdict is in regarding Bill Clinton’s character, but never consider that the VAST MAJORITY of the country have no idea just how bad he and Hillary were when it came to his ‘woman’ problem, and that a sizable chunk of today’s electorate are too young to even gather what information was available. Not to mention the Internet today and the easy ability to find sites that let people know just who the Clinton’s are.
The templates don’t work with Trump, he’s cutting a NEW PATH, and that is why people that may even disagree with him on most issues will still support him this year.
This is the big pot-boiler the media so far has not given much attention to - that The Donald has a pretty solid following among the “uncommitted” middle, many of whom have NEVER voted for a Republican.
The Republican Establishment pays lip service to trying to “win” the so-called middle, but their approach is to emulate the Democrats, by being Democrat-lite, and the uncommitted just have not been buying it.
Along comes someone who DOES have huge and unabashed support from this previously unmoved and unresponsive middle, and what does the Republican Establishment do? They try to blow the guy up. He doesn’t “play fair”, he is “too abrasive”, he won’t “toe the line”, he doesn’t “take advice”, and in general, simply bypasses them altogether.
The Donald has simply been espousing all the positions that the Republican Establishment claims they support, but fail in any way to actually DO anything to put those homilies and beliefs into force. He has been calling their bluff, like getting immigration under control, like getting spending under control, like abolishing the monstrosity known as the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act of 2010 and replacing it with a plan that WORKS, like a major restructuring of the manner in which taxes are collected at the Federal level, and by re-establishing something like a workable foreign policy that reflects the will of those people who call themselves “American”.
Imagine if Trump was instead running as a Democrat and was leading all the Democrat polls like he is now for the Republicans. Shrillary Clinton and all the establishment Democrats would be beside themselves. They would be furious and in a frenzy to stop him. Meanwhile, all of us would be cheering him on from the sidelines to steal the nomination from Shrillary and vowing to vote for him in the general, especially if our nominee was going to be somebody like Jeb Bush.
Attacking Bill Clinton is not good politics, says a Clinton campaign adviser.
Value of this *advice* to Trump: Less Than Zero.
A pre-Christmas survey Reuters - I think - found Trump leading Cruz with Independents 24 to THREE!
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