Posted on 12/22/2015 5:07:59 PM PST by smoothsailing
December 22, 2015
by sundance
* You might be noting the corporate media selling a “surging Cruz” nipping on the heels of Donald Trump narrative. Be thankful.
* You might also be noting the corporate media selling a “more palatable Chris Christie” narrative as an option to the vulgarian uprising represented in Donald Trump. Again, be thankful.
It’s only when the corporate media is NOT predictable, that any concern should rise.
Somewhere between the origin of the GOPe Roadmap, The Tripwires, The Splitter Strategy and Operation Hummingbird, people have caught on. The validity of predicting what they do, before they do it, and seeing it actually play out exactly as designed has awakened the majority.
…Remove Donald Trump – then: Carson becomes Herman Cain, Ted Cruz becomes Newt Gingrich, and Jeb Bush/Marco Rubio can stroll into the role of Mitt Romney 2012…
However, none of the current plans can succeed until the primary issue is resolved, ie. the removal of Donald Trump. Hence, we are now fully immersed in the predictable “Alliance Phase”:
* One goal is to make Chris Christie a palatable alternative to Trump. Target the Republican voter who will never support Jeb but is vulnerable to the media influence creating fear of Trump. Hence today, 12/22/15, their push is: The vulgarian Trump “is an embarrassment”
* One goal is to elevate Ted Cruz hoping to push Trump supporters his way, then wedge issue similar voters toward Rubio. Hence today, 12/22/15, their push is: “Cruz is right behind Trump – and is the only candidate to beat Hillary”
* The last goal is to keep Jeb Bush alive as a viable candidate.
Don’t think those prior predictions were entirely accurate? Well, let’s take a closer look at today’s quinnipiac polling. Setting aside the top-line poll data for a moment, and again check out the construct of the press released statement from Quinnipiac (highlighted for emphasis):
(Click to Enlarge) – Press Release LINK HERE
Do you see the narrative as presented?
Donald Trump and the word “embarrassed” used five times in the top half of the very first presentation page. This is not accidental.
Was this question asked for any other GOP candidate other than Trump? Of course not, that wouldn’t aid the selling of it.
Donald Trump rallies with tens-of-thousands several times a week, yet “Ted Cruz is snapping at his heels“? Too funny – but it gets even sillier.
Do you notice the non-congruent narrative juxtaposition? All of a sudden the most polarizing political figure in the history of GOP politics, Ted Cruz, has miraculously found a way to tie Hillary Clinton?
This “Ted Cruz-the-Bridge-builder-to-Democrats narrative” is not only antithetical to all previous and current polling, it’s profoundly antithetical to common sense.
It takes a very particular poll sample to generate such a result. A polling sample where only 4% of GOP respondents value gun ownership rights higher than climate change concerns….
….Let that emphasis sink in for a minute.
( FULL POLL DATA )
Only reason to win Iowa is to shut the Cruz bots up before Trump’s win in NH and all the other states.
For the record Reagan lost in Iowa to HW
LOLOL!!!
I would not be surprised at all if Bernie laid a similar shellacking on her this go-around.
I wonder what the author’s statistical background is.
(Hat tip: BigEdLB)
I bought 2 signs from his website when he announced.
Um, yes I can. The 2008 primary featured two candidates.
1. Clinton: a candidate with high negatives, a big lead in the national polls, huge name recognition and constant media coverage
2. Obama: A very liberal first term senator, who laid down one of the best ground games in his party's primary, started to surge at the right time and used Iowa to launch himself to the presidency and had the organization to carry himself through the next couple of primaries and capture the nomination.
So while these are different parties and different ideologies these are similar candidates in Trump and Cruz. The scenario of 2008 is already playing out with Cruz and Trump. Trump is not giving Iowa away to Cruz, Trump has no ground game, no organization and is relying on the media covering him to gain exposure. I feel pretty good about where Cruz is at right now, he has a great shot at this because he's surging at the right time and has the best organization in the race.
I wonder what the author’s statistical background is.
If you even think this article makes sense then you must be for Trump.
Sure, Reagan lost Iowa very narrowly, but there have been candidates who have used Iowa as a springboard to the nomination and the presidency.
It's Cruz, very different ideologies, but very similar campaign tactics and organization. Cruz even studied the 2008 Obama campaign and emulated its structure to win a major upset in Texas when he was running for the Senate.
It was not a matter of masterful election strategy, as he never had it. It was the media in his corner, covering for him, and the entire progressive machine full tilt pedal to the metal to denigrate first bush, then McCain (albeit the latter was a piece of cake) because they saw him as being more effective for their needs, and a better chance of taking the election.
Then there was the visceral hatred of all things Clinton, even on their side. That is why now, there is lip service for her, but not too much in terms of all out non stop 24/7 Hillary!
OK then Obama had the big crowds and won against Clinton. Now Trump has the biggest crowds and will win against Cruz. Makes perfect sense.
Gotta love sundance.
I hate Obama with every fiber in my body, but I can’t deny that the man had an amazing ground game and campaign that changed the way political campaigns are run. Cruz is wise for using it as a model.
“Iowa”
You know who else had big crowds? Mitt Romney.
Neat, thanks for sharing.
Iowa is only the kiss of death if you’re a Santorum or a Gingrich with no money, no organization and no presence in the following primary states.
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